Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party led by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, submitted its independent candidate list in early September 2026 ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent polls after list closure show the party hovering near Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold, with some surveys projecting four seats and others placing it below, reflecting volatility from small-sample polling of minor parties and shifts among undecided voters. The party's positioning draws primarily from Likud, Religious Zionist, and Otzma Yehudit supporters, while its decision to run separately rather than merge has fragmented the right-wing bloc. Trader consensus on low-single-digit or sub-threshold results aligns with this pattern of marginal polling performance and competition within the broader Zionist right.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2.5% से कम 47%
3.25-4% 32%
2.5-3.25% 26%
4-5% 14%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
2.5% से कम
47%
2.5-3.25%
26%
3.25-4%
32%
4-5%
28%
5%+
40%
2.5% से कम 47%
3.25-4% 32%
2.5-3.25% 26%
4-5% 14%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
2.5% से कम
$20 वॉल्यूम
47%
2.5-3.25%
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
3.25-4%
$0 वॉल्यूम
32%
4-5%
$13 वॉल्यूम
28%
5%+
$32 वॉल्यूम
40%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party led by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, submitted its independent candidate list in early September 2026 ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent polls after list closure show the party hovering near Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold, with some surveys projecting four seats and others placing it below, reflecting volatility from small-sample polling of minor parties and shifts among undecided voters. The party's positioning draws primarily from Likud, Religious Zionist, and Otzma Yehudit supporters, while its decision to run separately rather than merge has fragmented the right-wing bloc. Trader consensus on low-single-digit or sub-threshold results aligns with this pattern of marginal polling performance and competition within the broader Zionist right.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$66समाप्ति तिथि
30 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party led by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, submitted its independent candidate list in early September 2026 ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent polls after list closure show the party hovering near Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold, with some surveys projecting four seats and others placing it below, reflecting volatility from small-sample polling of minor parties and shifts among undecided voters. The party's positioning draws primarily from Likud, Religious Zionist, and Otzma Yehudit supporters, while its decision to run separately rather than merge has fragmented the right-wing bloc. Trader consensus on low-single-digit or sub-threshold results aligns with this pattern of marginal polling performance and competition within the broader Zionist right.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
वॉल्यूम
$66समाप्ति तिथि
30 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party led by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, submitted its independent candidate list in early September 2026 ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent polls after list closure show the party hovering near Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold, with some surveys projecting four seats and others placing it below, reflecting volatility from small-sample polling of minor parties and shifts among undecided voters. The party's positioning draws primarily from Likud, Religious Zionist, and Otzma Yehudit supporters, while its decision to run separately rather than merge has fragmented the right-wing bloc. Trader consensus on low-single-digit or sub-threshold results aligns with this pattern of marginal polling performance and competition within the broader Zionist right.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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