Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election places Ra'am's support near the 4-5.5% range, reflecting competition for Arab voters between the independent Islamist list led by Mansour Abbas and the reunited Joint List of Hadash-Ta'al and Balad. A September surplus-vote agreement between Ra'am and the Joint List aims to minimize wasted ballots but does not directly alter raw vote shares. Arab turnout levels, the party's addition of a Jewish candidate in a technical bloc, and right-wing disqualification petitions—historically overturned—introduce variability that keeps the leading bins closely matched in trader assessments. Broader coalition maneuvering and opposition efforts to consolidate anti-incumbent support further sustain uncertainty around final percentages.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4-4.75% 37%
3.25-4% 25%
<3.25% 19%
5.5%+ 5%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
<3.25%
17%
3.25-4%
19%
4-4.75%
37%
4.75-5.5%
37%
5.5%+
5%
4-4.75% 37%
3.25-4% 25%
<3.25% 19%
5.5%+ 5%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
<3.25%
$294 वॉल्यूम
17%
3.25-4%
$258 वॉल्यूम
19%
4-4.75%
$972 वॉल्यूम
37%
4.75-5.5%
$192 वॉल्यूम
37%
5.5%+
$175 वॉल्यूम
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election places Ra'am's support near the 4-5.5% range, reflecting competition for Arab voters between the independent Islamist list led by Mansour Abbas and the reunited Joint List of Hadash-Ta'al and Balad. A September surplus-vote agreement between Ra'am and the Joint List aims to minimize wasted ballots but does not directly alter raw vote shares. Arab turnout levels, the party's addition of a Jewish candidate in a technical bloc, and right-wing disqualification petitions—historically overturned—introduce variability that keeps the leading bins closely matched in trader assessments. Broader coalition maneuvering and opposition efforts to consolidate anti-incumbent support further sustain uncertainty around final percentages.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,892समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election places Ra'am's support near the 4-5.5% range, reflecting competition for Arab voters between the independent Islamist list led by Mansour Abbas and the reunited Joint List of Hadash-Ta'al and Balad. A September surplus-vote agreement between Ra'am and the Joint List aims to minimize wasted ballots but does not directly alter raw vote shares. Arab turnout levels, the party's addition of a Jewish candidate in a technical bloc, and right-wing disqualification petitions—historically overturned—introduce variability that keeps the leading bins closely matched in trader assessments. Broader coalition maneuvering and opposition efforts to consolidate anti-incumbent support further sustain uncertainty around final percentages.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,892समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election places Ra'am's support near the 4-5.5% range, reflecting competition for Arab voters between the independent Islamist list led by Mansour Abbas and the reunited Joint List of Hadash-Ta'al and Balad. A September surplus-vote agreement between Ra'am and the Joint List aims to minimize wasted ballots but does not directly alter raw vote shares. Arab turnout levels, the party's addition of a Jewish candidate in a technical bloc, and right-wing disqualification petitions—historically overturned—introduce variability that keeps the leading bins closely matched in trader assessments. Broader coalition maneuvering and opposition efforts to consolidate anti-incumbent support further sustain uncertainty around final percentages.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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