As president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds institutional immunity that shields sitting South Korean leaders from arrest or detention absent impeachment or legislative action to lift protections. Multiple ongoing trials on election law violations, corruption, and breach of trust remain active but have seen no new indictments or warrants advance through mid-2026. No impeachment proceedings or National Assembly votes to strip immunity have materialized, while Lee's Democratic Party maintains a strong legislative position and approval ratings above 50 percent for most of his first year. These structural barriers and the absence of recent political catalysts underpin trader consensus favoring no arrest before the market's 2026 resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाली जे - म्युंग को 2027 से पहले गिरफ्तार किया गया था?
ली जे - म्युंग को 2027 से पहले गिरफ्तार किया गया था?
हाँ
9% संभावना
$528,704 वॉल्यूम
$528,704 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
9% संभावना
$528,704 वॉल्यूम
$528,704 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds institutional immunity that shields sitting South Korean leaders from arrest or detention absent impeachment or legislative action to lift protections. Multiple ongoing trials on election law violations, corruption, and breach of trust remain active but have seen no new indictments or warrants advance through mid-2026. No impeachment proceedings or National Assembly votes to strip immunity have materialized, while Lee's Democratic Party maintains a strong legislative position and approval ratings above 50 percent for most of his first year. These structural barriers and the absence of recent political catalysts underpin trader consensus favoring no arrest before the market's 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$528,704समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds institutional immunity that shields sitting South Korean leaders from arrest or detention absent impeachment or legislative action to lift protections. Multiple ongoing trials on election law violations, corruption, and breach of trust remain active but have seen no new indictments or warrants advance through mid-2026. No impeachment proceedings or National Assembly votes to strip immunity have materialized, while Lee's Democratic Party maintains a strong legislative position and approval ratings above 50 percent for most of his first year. These structural barriers and the absence of recent political catalysts underpin trader consensus favoring no arrest before the market's 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$528,704समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds institutional immunity that shields sitting South Korean leaders from arrest or detention absent impeachment or legislative action to lift protections. Multiple ongoing trials on election law violations, corruption, and breach of trust remain active but have seen no new indictments or warrants advance through mid-2026. No impeachment proceedings or National Assembly votes to strip immunity have materialized, while Lee's Democratic Party maintains a strong legislative position and approval ratings above 50 percent for most of his first year. These structural barriers and the absence of recent political catalysts underpin trader consensus favoring no arrest before the market's 2026 resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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