**Presidential immunity under Article 84 of the South Korean constitution protects incumbent Lee Jae-myung from prosecution on pre-existing charges except for insurrection or treason.** Multiple trials on election-law violations, bribery, corruption, and misuse of public funds—dating to his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor—remain suspended or indefinitely postponed by courts following his June 2025 election victory. As of mid-2026, no new indictments, legislative efforts to override protections, or impeachment proceedings have advanced. This constitutional shield and procedural stasis underpin trader consensus favoring no arrest before 2027, with only extraordinary developments such as fresh charges tied to official acts or major political upheaval able to shift the outlook.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाली जे - म्युंग को 2027 से पहले गिरफ्तार किया गया था?
ली जे - म्युंग को 2027 से पहले गिरफ्तार किया गया था?
हाँ
8% संभावना
$529,271 वॉल्यूम
$529,271 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
8% संभावना
$529,271 वॉल्यूम
$529,271 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Presidential immunity under Article 84 of the South Korean constitution protects incumbent Lee Jae-myung from prosecution on pre-existing charges except for insurrection or treason.** Multiple trials on election-law violations, bribery, corruption, and misuse of public funds—dating to his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor—remain suspended or indefinitely postponed by courts following his June 2025 election victory. As of mid-2026, no new indictments, legislative efforts to override protections, or impeachment proceedings have advanced. This constitutional shield and procedural stasis underpin trader consensus favoring no arrest before 2027, with only extraordinary developments such as fresh charges tied to official acts or major political upheaval able to shift the outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$529,271समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Presidential immunity under Article 84 of the South Korean constitution protects incumbent Lee Jae-myung from prosecution on pre-existing charges except for insurrection or treason.** Multiple trials on election-law violations, bribery, corruption, and misuse of public funds—dating to his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor—remain suspended or indefinitely postponed by courts following his June 2025 election victory. As of mid-2026, no new indictments, legislative efforts to override protections, or impeachment proceedings have advanced. This constitutional shield and procedural stasis underpin trader consensus favoring no arrest before 2027, with only extraordinary developments such as fresh charges tied to official acts or major political upheaval able to shift the outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$529,271समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Presidential immunity under Article 84 of the South Korean constitution protects incumbent Lee Jae-myung from prosecution on pre-existing charges except for insurrection or treason.** Multiple trials on election-law violations, bribery, corruption, and misuse of public funds—dating to his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor—remain suspended or indefinitely postponed by courts following his June 2025 election victory. As of mid-2026, no new indictments, legislative efforts to override protections, or impeachment proceedings have advanced. This constitutional shield and procedural stasis underpin trader consensus favoring no arrest before 2027, with only extraordinary developments such as fresh charges tied to official acts or major political upheaval able to shift the outlook.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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