South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration and related actions. A February 2026 district court ruling imposed a life sentence for insurrection, while a June 2026 verdict added a 30-year term for abuse of power and aiding the enemy in connection with a drone incursion over North Korea. In July 2026 the Supreme Court finalized a seven-year sentence for obstruction of arrest and related procedural violations. Yoon has appealed the heavier penalties, with additional trials—including a perjury matter—ongoing into August 2026. These stacked sentences and the pace of South Korean appellate review underpin trader consensus that release before 2027 is improbable, producing the 92% implied probability on “No.”
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
8% संभावना
$200,931 वॉल्यूम
$200,931 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
8% संभावना
$200,931 वॉल्यूम
$200,931 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration and related actions. A February 2026 district court ruling imposed a life sentence for insurrection, while a June 2026 verdict added a 30-year term for abuse of power and aiding the enemy in connection with a drone incursion over North Korea. In July 2026 the Supreme Court finalized a seven-year sentence for obstruction of arrest and related procedural violations. Yoon has appealed the heavier penalties, with additional trials—including a perjury matter—ongoing into August 2026. These stacked sentences and the pace of South Korean appellate review underpin trader consensus that release before 2027 is improbable, producing the 92% implied probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$200,931समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration and related actions. A February 2026 district court ruling imposed a life sentence for insurrection, while a June 2026 verdict added a 30-year term for abuse of power and aiding the enemy in connection with a drone incursion over North Korea. In July 2026 the Supreme Court finalized a seven-year sentence for obstruction of arrest and related procedural violations. Yoon has appealed the heavier penalties, with additional trials—including a perjury matter—ongoing into August 2026. These stacked sentences and the pace of South Korean appellate review underpin trader consensus that release before 2027 is improbable, producing the 92% implied probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$200,931समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration and related actions. A February 2026 district court ruling imposed a life sentence for insurrection, while a June 2026 verdict added a 30-year term for abuse of power and aiding the enemy in connection with a drone incursion over North Korea. In July 2026 the Supreme Court finalized a seven-year sentence for obstruction of arrest and related procedural violations. Yoon has appealed the heavier penalties, with additional trials—including a perjury matter—ongoing into August 2026. These stacked sentences and the pace of South Korean appellate review underpin trader consensus that release before 2027 is improbable, producing the 92% implied probability on “No.”
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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