South Korea's sitting President Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, which shields him from most criminal prosecution while in office except for rare cases like insurrection or treason. Pre-presidency proceedings on election law violations and corruption charges remain suspended following his 2025 election victory, with courts deferring action until after his term concludes in 2030. No new indictments, legislative overrides, or qualifying events have emerged in 2026 to change this timeline before year-end. Traders reflect these structural protections in the 91.8% implied probability against arrest before 2027, consistent with historical patterns limiting exposure for incumbents absent extraordinary developments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाली जे - म्युंग को 2027 से पहले गिरफ्तार किया गया था?
ली जे - म्युंग को 2027 से पहले गिरफ्तार किया गया था?
हाँ
8% संभावना
$538,606 वॉल्यूम
$538,606 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
हाँ
8% संभावना
$538,606 वॉल्यूम
$538,606 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's sitting President Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, which shields him from most criminal prosecution while in office except for rare cases like insurrection or treason. Pre-presidency proceedings on election law violations and corruption charges remain suspended following his 2025 election victory, with courts deferring action until after his term concludes in 2030. No new indictments, legislative overrides, or qualifying events have emerged in 2026 to change this timeline before year-end. Traders reflect these structural protections in the 91.8% implied probability against arrest before 2027, consistent with historical patterns limiting exposure for incumbents absent extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$538,606समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's sitting President Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, which shields him from most criminal prosecution while in office except for rare cases like insurrection or treason. Pre-presidency proceedings on election law violations and corruption charges remain suspended following his 2025 election victory, with courts deferring action until after his term concludes in 2030. No new indictments, legislative overrides, or qualifying events have emerged in 2026 to change this timeline before year-end. Traders reflect these structural protections in the 91.8% implied probability against arrest before 2027, consistent with historical patterns limiting exposure for incumbents absent extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$538,606समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea's sitting President Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, which shields him from most criminal prosecution while in office except for rare cases like insurrection or treason. Pre-presidency proceedings on election law violations and corruption charges remain suspended following his 2025 election victory, with courts deferring action until after his term concludes in 2030. No new indictments, legislative overrides, or qualifying events have emerged in 2026 to change this timeline before year-end. Traders reflect these structural protections in the 91.8% implied probability against arrest before 2027, consistent with historical patterns limiting exposure for incumbents absent extraordinary developments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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