South Korea President Lee Jae-myung, elected in a June 2025 snap vote, holds office through 2030 and receives constitutional immunity under Article 84 that blocks most criminal proceedings except insurrection or treason. Courts have indefinitely postponed all five pre-presidency cases, including election-law violations and alleged illegal remittances, with no new indictments or warrants issued in 2026. These procedural suspensions and the structural protections of the presidency align with trader consensus reflected in the 92.1% implied probability against arrest before 2027. High approval ratings near 60% and the absence of legislative or judicial actions altering his status further reinforce expectations that cases will resume only after his term concludes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाली जे - म्युंग को 2027 से पहले गिरफ्तार किया गया था?
ली जे - म्युंग को 2027 से पहले गिरफ्तार किया गया था?
हाँ
8% संभावना
$538,606 वॉल्यूम
$538,606 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
हाँ
8% संभावना
$538,606 वॉल्यूम
$538,606 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea President Lee Jae-myung, elected in a June 2025 snap vote, holds office through 2030 and receives constitutional immunity under Article 84 that blocks most criminal proceedings except insurrection or treason. Courts have indefinitely postponed all five pre-presidency cases, including election-law violations and alleged illegal remittances, with no new indictments or warrants issued in 2026. These procedural suspensions and the structural protections of the presidency align with trader consensus reflected in the 92.1% implied probability against arrest before 2027. High approval ratings near 60% and the absence of legislative or judicial actions altering his status further reinforce expectations that cases will resume only after his term concludes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$538,606समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea President Lee Jae-myung, elected in a June 2025 snap vote, holds office through 2030 and receives constitutional immunity under Article 84 that blocks most criminal proceedings except insurrection or treason. Courts have indefinitely postponed all five pre-presidency cases, including election-law violations and alleged illegal remittances, with no new indictments or warrants issued in 2026. These procedural suspensions and the structural protections of the presidency align with trader consensus reflected in the 92.1% implied probability against arrest before 2027. High approval ratings near 60% and the absence of legislative or judicial actions altering his status further reinforce expectations that cases will resume only after his term concludes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$538,606समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea President Lee Jae-myung, elected in a June 2025 snap vote, holds office through 2030 and receives constitutional immunity under Article 84 that blocks most criminal proceedings except insurrection or treason. Courts have indefinitely postponed all five pre-presidency cases, including election-law violations and alleged illegal remittances, with no new indictments or warrants issued in 2026. These procedural suspensions and the structural protections of the presidency align with trader consensus reflected in the 92.1% implied probability against arrest before 2027. High approval ratings near 60% and the absence of legislative or judicial actions altering his status further reinforce expectations that cases will resume only after his term concludes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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