Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show ensemble spreads for Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 29 clustered between 18–22°C, driving the tight distribution of market-implied odds. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the Sea of Marmara, which can suppress or enhance radiative cooling, alongside steering flow from the north that may advect cooler air from the Black Sea or allow warmer continental air to persist. Late-summer sea-surface temperatures near 24–26°C provide a baseline that limits extreme drops, while any strengthening of the Etesian winds could lower the minimum by 1–2°C. New model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया29 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे कम तापमान?
29 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे कम तापमान?
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
23°C 50%
25°C or higher 43%
नया
नया
29 अग, 2026
15°C or below
42%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
50%
24°C
8%
25°C or higher
43%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
23°C 50%
25°C or higher 43%
नया
नया
29 अग, 2026
15°C or below
$135 वॉल्यूम
42%
16°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
50%
17°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
50%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
20°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
21°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
22°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
23°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
50%
24°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
8%
25°C or higher
$5 वॉल्यूम
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show ensemble spreads for Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 29 clustered between 18–22°C, driving the tight distribution of market-implied odds. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the Sea of Marmara, which can suppress or enhance radiative cooling, alongside steering flow from the north that may advect cooler air from the Black Sea or allow warmer continental air to persist. Late-summer sea-surface temperatures near 24–26°C provide a baseline that limits extreme drops, while any strengthening of the Etesian winds could lower the minimum by 1–2°C. New model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$165समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show ensemble spreads for Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 29 clustered between 18–22°C, driving the tight distribution of market-implied odds. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the Sea of Marmara, which can suppress or enhance radiative cooling, alongside steering flow from the north that may advect cooler air from the Black Sea or allow warmer continental air to persist. Late-summer sea-surface temperatures near 24–26°C provide a baseline that limits extreme drops, while any strengthening of the Etesian winds could lower the minimum by 1–2°C. New model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$165समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show ensemble spreads for Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 29 clustered between 18–22°C, driving the tight distribution of market-implied odds. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the Sea of Marmara, which can suppress or enhance radiative cooling, alongside steering flow from the north that may advect cooler air from the Black Sea or allow warmer continental air to persist. Late-summer sea-surface temperatures near 24–26°C provide a baseline that limits extreme drops, while any strengthening of the Etesian winds could lower the minimum by 1–2°C. New model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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