Close market-implied odds near 50% for 20–21°C versus 16–19°C reflect genuine uncertainty in official minimum temperature forecasts for Istanbul on September 12, driven by model differences in overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and moderate northeast winds. Turkish Meteorological Service and global models like GFS and ECMWF project lows around 18–20°C, consistent with typical early-September conditions where calm nights enhance surface heat loss while persistent breezes limit further drops. Recent observations of evening temperatures near 22–23°C and dew points around 16°C support this range, with traders weighing potential for localized cooling versus sustained mixing. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 सितंबर को इस्तांबुल में सबसे कम तापमान?
12 सितंबर को इस्तांबुल में सबसे कम तापमान?
18°C 100%
16°C 99.8%
17°C 98.7%
19°C 92%
$445 वॉल्यूम
$445 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
100%
17°C
99%
18°C
100%
19°C
92%
20°C
-
21°C
51%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
18°C 100%
16°C 99.8%
17°C 98.7%
19°C 92%
$445 वॉल्यूम
$445 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
$15 वॉल्यूम
10%
15°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
10%
16°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
100%
17°C
$150 वॉल्यूम
99%
18°C
$135 वॉल्यूम
100%
19°C
$67 वॉल्यूम
92%
20°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
-
21°C
$3 वॉल्यूम
51%
22°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C या उससे अधिक
$15 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close market-implied odds near 50% for 20–21°C versus 16–19°C reflect genuine uncertainty in official minimum temperature forecasts for Istanbul on September 12, driven by model differences in overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and moderate northeast winds. Turkish Meteorological Service and global models like GFS and ECMWF project lows around 18–20°C, consistent with typical early-September conditions where calm nights enhance surface heat loss while persistent breezes limit further drops. Recent observations of evening temperatures near 22–23°C and dew points around 16°C support this range, with traders weighing potential for localized cooling versus sustained mixing. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$445समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close market-implied odds near 50% for 20–21°C versus 16–19°C reflect genuine uncertainty in official minimum temperature forecasts for Istanbul on September 12, driven by model differences in overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and moderate northeast winds. Turkish Meteorological Service and global models like GFS and ECMWF project lows around 18–20°C, consistent with typical early-September conditions where calm nights enhance surface heat loss while persistent breezes limit further drops. Recent observations of evening temperatures near 22–23°C and dew points around 16°C support this range, with traders weighing potential for localized cooling versus sustained mixing. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$445समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Close market-implied odds near 50% for 20–21°C versus 16–19°C reflect genuine uncertainty in official minimum temperature forecasts for Istanbul on September 12, driven by model differences in overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and moderate northeast winds. Turkish Meteorological Service and global models like GFS and ECMWF project lows around 18–20°C, consistent with typical early-September conditions where calm nights enhance surface heat loss while persistent breezes limit further drops. Recent observations of evening temperatures near 22–23°C and dew points around 16°C support this range, with traders weighing potential for localized cooling versus sustained mixing. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न