**Forecast models from sources including AEMET and global ensembles point to clear skies and light southwesterly winds favoring radiative cooling overnight into August 30, with minimum temperatures most likely in the 17–19°C range.** This aligns with seasonal norms near 18°C and recent patterns showing mild air masses with dew points around 8–10°C limiting further drops. Market-implied odds cluster heavily on 13–16°C bins due to uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates, potential model warm biases in urban stations, and variability in wind mixing or local microclimates. Differentiating factors include precise timing of the minimum, measurement site specifics (e.g., airport vs. city center), and any last-hour adjustments in high-resolution guidance before resolution. Traders weigh these against the strong consensus for dry, stable conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
30 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
13°C or below 37%
14°C 28%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
नया
नया
30 अग, 2026
13°C or below
37%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
15%
18°C
5%
19°C
5%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 37%
14°C 28%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
नया
नया
30 अग, 2026
13°C or below
$7 वॉल्यूम
37%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
15%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
20°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C or higher
$276 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including AEMET and global ensembles point to clear skies and light southwesterly winds favoring radiative cooling overnight into August 30, with minimum temperatures most likely in the 17–19°C range.** This aligns with seasonal norms near 18°C and recent patterns showing mild air masses with dew points around 8–10°C limiting further drops. Market-implied odds cluster heavily on 13–16°C bins due to uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates, potential model warm biases in urban stations, and variability in wind mixing or local microclimates. Differentiating factors include precise timing of the minimum, measurement site specifics (e.g., airport vs. city center), and any last-hour adjustments in high-resolution guidance before resolution. Traders weigh these against the strong consensus for dry, stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$292समाप्ति तिथि
30 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including AEMET and global ensembles point to clear skies and light southwesterly winds favoring radiative cooling overnight into August 30, with minimum temperatures most likely in the 17–19°C range.** This aligns with seasonal norms near 18°C and recent patterns showing mild air masses with dew points around 8–10°C limiting further drops. Market-implied odds cluster heavily on 13–16°C bins due to uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates, potential model warm biases in urban stations, and variability in wind mixing or local microclimates. Differentiating factors include precise timing of the minimum, measurement site specifics (e.g., airport vs. city center), and any last-hour adjustments in high-resolution guidance before resolution. Traders weigh these against the strong consensus for dry, stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$292समाप्ति तिथि
30 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including AEMET and global ensembles point to clear skies and light southwesterly winds favoring radiative cooling overnight into August 30, with minimum temperatures most likely in the 17–19°C range.** This aligns with seasonal norms near 18°C and recent patterns showing mild air masses with dew points around 8–10°C limiting further drops. Market-implied odds cluster heavily on 13–16°C bins due to uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates, potential model warm biases in urban stations, and variability in wind mixing or local microclimates. Differentiating factors include precise timing of the minimum, measurement site specifics (e.g., airport vs. city center), and any last-hour adjustments in high-resolution guidance before resolution. Traders weigh these against the strong consensus for dry, stable conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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