Official AEMET guidance and supporting numerical models indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions will drive Madrid's minimum temperature to around 12°C on August 29. Light southwesterly winds and dry air favor efficient heat loss after sunset, consistent with recent observations showing minima near 13–15°C. This places the daily low firmly near the 12°C threshold, aligning with the market's strong 88.9% implied probability while leaving only marginal room for colder outliers under unexpected clear-sky intensification or warmer deviations from model consensus. Historical late-August averages sit higher, underscoring the current cooler anomaly.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया29 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
29 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
12°C 96.2%
11°C or below 1.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$2,289 वॉल्यूम
$2,289 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
96%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
12°C 96.2%
11°C or below 1.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$2,289 वॉल्यूम
$2,289 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
11°C or below
$263 वॉल्यूम
1%
12°C
$754 वॉल्यूम
96%
13°C
$259 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$266 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$313 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$75 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$97 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$53 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$53 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$78 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C or higher
$78 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET guidance and supporting numerical models indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions will drive Madrid's minimum temperature to around 12°C on August 29. Light southwesterly winds and dry air favor efficient heat loss after sunset, consistent with recent observations showing minima near 13–15°C. This places the daily low firmly near the 12°C threshold, aligning with the market's strong 88.9% implied probability while leaving only marginal room for colder outliers under unexpected clear-sky intensification or warmer deviations from model consensus. Historical late-August averages sit higher, underscoring the current cooler anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,289समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET guidance and supporting numerical models indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions will drive Madrid's minimum temperature to around 12°C on August 29. Light southwesterly winds and dry air favor efficient heat loss after sunset, consistent with recent observations showing minima near 13–15°C. This places the daily low firmly near the 12°C threshold, aligning with the market's strong 88.9% implied probability while leaving only marginal room for colder outliers under unexpected clear-sky intensification or warmer deviations from model consensus. Historical late-August averages sit higher, underscoring the current cooler anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,289समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Official AEMET guidance and supporting numerical models indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions will drive Madrid's minimum temperature to around 12°C on August 29. Light southwesterly winds and dry air favor efficient heat loss after sunset, consistent with recent observations showing minima near 13–15°C. This places the daily low firmly near the 12°C threshold, aligning with the market's strong 88.9% implied probability while leaving only marginal room for colder outliers under unexpected clear-sky intensification or warmer deviations from model consensus. Historical late-August averages sit higher, underscoring the current cooler anomaly.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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