**Forecast uncertainty around nocturnal radiative cooling under the southwest monsoon drives the near-even odds between cooler (21°C or below) and warmer (31°C or higher) extremes for Manila’s September 22 low.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, as indicated by PAGASA guidance and model consensus, limit nighttime heat loss while also suppressing daytime peaks near 30–31°C. Light winds and high humidity further moderate the diurnal range, keeping typical lows near the 25–27°C historical September baseline. Variations in exact rain timing, cloud thickness, and any localized clearing can shift the minimum by several degrees, explaining why specific temperatures cluster around 20–32% implied probability without a dominant outcome. Updated model runs and official overnight observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे कम तापमान?
22 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C या उससे कम 100%
31°C या उससे अधिक 95%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
नया
नया
22 सित, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
100%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
32%
28°C
40%
29°C
40%
30°C
40%
31°C या उससे अधिक
95%
21°C या उससे कम 100%
31°C या उससे अधिक 95%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
नया
नया
22 सित, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
100%
22°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
25°C
$3 वॉल्यूम
21%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
27°C
$114 वॉल्यूम
32%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
29°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
31°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around nocturnal radiative cooling under the southwest monsoon drives the near-even odds between cooler (21°C or below) and warmer (31°C or higher) extremes for Manila’s September 22 low.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, as indicated by PAGASA guidance and model consensus, limit nighttime heat loss while also suppressing daytime peaks near 30–31°C. Light winds and high humidity further moderate the diurnal range, keeping typical lows near the 25–27°C historical September baseline. Variations in exact rain timing, cloud thickness, and any localized clearing can shift the minimum by several degrees, explaining why specific temperatures cluster around 20–32% implied probability without a dominant outcome. Updated model runs and official overnight observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$116समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around nocturnal radiative cooling under the southwest monsoon drives the near-even odds between cooler (21°C or below) and warmer (31°C or higher) extremes for Manila’s September 22 low.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, as indicated by PAGASA guidance and model consensus, limit nighttime heat loss while also suppressing daytime peaks near 30–31°C. Light winds and high humidity further moderate the diurnal range, keeping typical lows near the 25–27°C historical September baseline. Variations in exact rain timing, cloud thickness, and any localized clearing can shift the minimum by several degrees, explaining why specific temperatures cluster around 20–32% implied probability without a dominant outcome. Updated model runs and official overnight observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$116समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty around nocturnal radiative cooling under the southwest monsoon drives the near-even odds between cooler (21°C or below) and warmer (31°C or higher) extremes for Manila’s September 22 low.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, as indicated by PAGASA guidance and model consensus, limit nighttime heat loss while also suppressing daytime peaks near 30–31°C. Light winds and high humidity further moderate the diurnal range, keeping typical lows near the 25–27°C historical September baseline. Variations in exact rain timing, cloud thickness, and any localized clearing can shift the minimum by several degrees, explaining why specific temperatures cluster around 20–32% implied probability without a dominant outcome. Updated model runs and official overnight observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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