Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily maximum of 30–32°C in Shenzhen on September 21, driven by subtropical ridging and moderate southerly flow amid elevated humidity levels near 65–80%. Afternoon convective thunderstorms, with precipitation probabilities of 15–70% depending on the run, introduce the main uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spread in timing and intensity of these showers explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31°C and 32°C, while drier scenarios supporting 33°C or higher remain lower probability given seasonal climatology of frequent late-September instability in the region. Updated model guidance ahead of the daily maximum will refine these thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 सितंबर को शेन्ज़ेन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21 सितंबर को शेन्ज़ेन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 32%
32°C 27%
33°C 21%
30°C 16%
नया
नया
21 सित, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
16%
31°C
32%
32°C
27%
33°C
21%
34°C
7%
35°C या उससे अधिक
2%
31°C 32%
32°C 27%
33°C 21%
30°C 16%
नया
नया
21 सित, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
$111 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$111 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$111 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$425 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$394 वॉल्यूम
3%
30°C
$942 वॉल्यूम
16%
31°C
$395 वॉल्यूम
32%
32°C
$831 वॉल्यूम
27%
33°C
$1,284 वॉल्यूम
21%
34°C
$691 वॉल्यूम
7%
35°C या उससे अधिक
$438 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily maximum of 30–32°C in Shenzhen on September 21, driven by subtropical ridging and moderate southerly flow amid elevated humidity levels near 65–80%. Afternoon convective thunderstorms, with precipitation probabilities of 15–70% depending on the run, introduce the main uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spread in timing and intensity of these showers explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31°C and 32°C, while drier scenarios supporting 33°C or higher remain lower probability given seasonal climatology of frequent late-September instability in the region. Updated model guidance ahead of the daily maximum will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,734समाप्ति तिथि
21 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily maximum of 30–32°C in Shenzhen on September 21, driven by subtropical ridging and moderate southerly flow amid elevated humidity levels near 65–80%. Afternoon convective thunderstorms, with precipitation probabilities of 15–70% depending on the run, introduce the main uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spread in timing and intensity of these showers explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31°C and 32°C, while drier scenarios supporting 33°C or higher remain lower probability given seasonal climatology of frequent late-September instability in the region. Updated model guidance ahead of the daily maximum will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$5,734समाप्ति तिथि
21 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily maximum of 30–32°C in Shenzhen on September 21, driven by subtropical ridging and moderate southerly flow amid elevated humidity levels near 65–80%. Afternoon convective thunderstorms, with precipitation probabilities of 15–70% depending on the run, introduce the main uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Ensemble spread in timing and intensity of these showers explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31°C and 32°C, while drier scenarios supporting 33°C or higher remain lower probability given seasonal climatology of frequent late-September instability in the region. Updated model guidance ahead of the daily maximum will refine these thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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