Recent forecast updates from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS runs show a strengthening low-pressure system approaching Moscow, with southerly to southeasterly flow and 60-80% rain or thunderstorm probabilities limiting solar heating on September 22. This setup favors daytime maxima near 17-19°C under persistent cloud cover, consistent with market-implied odds clustering on those bins. Model spreads arise from uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of heaviest precipitation, which can suppress or enhance temperatures by 1-2°C through reduced insolation versus latent heat release. Historical September baselines near 15-18°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern tilts consensus slightly above average without extreme warm advection.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18°C 33%
19°C 25%
17°C 22%
20°C 10%
11°C या उससे कम
2%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
22%
18°C
33%
19°C
25%
20°C
10%
21°C या उससे अधिक
5%
18°C 33%
19°C 25%
17°C 22%
20°C 10%
11°C या उससे कम
2%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
22%
18°C
33%
19°C
25%
20°C
10%
21°C या उससे अधिक
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS runs show a strengthening low-pressure system approaching Moscow, with southerly to southeasterly flow and 60-80% rain or thunderstorm probabilities limiting solar heating on September 22. This setup favors daytime maxima near 17-19°C under persistent cloud cover, consistent with market-implied odds clustering on those bins. Model spreads arise from uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and timing of heaviest precipitation, which can suppress or enhance temperatures by 1-2°C through reduced insolation versus latent heat release. Historical September baselines near 15-18°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern tilts consensus slightly above average without extreme warm advection.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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