The dominant 90% implied probability for a 60-61°F low on September 12 stems from National Weather Service observations at key San Francisco stations confirming a minimum in that narrow range. Coastal moderation by the cold California Current and marine layer typically caps overnight drops, producing average September lows near 56°F, yet recent conditions featuring lighter onshore flow, reduced cloud cover, and minimal cold-air advection kept temperatures elevated through the night. This outcome sits well above historical extremes like the 49°F record while aligning with the period's mild pattern, giving traders strong confidence in the resolution criteria based on verified station data rather than model projections.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 सितंबर को सैन फ्रांसिस्को में सबसे कम तापमान?
12 सितंबर को सैन फ्रांसिस्को में सबसे कम तापमान?
60-61°F 99%
49°F या उससे कम 20%
56-57°F 20%
58-59°F 20%
$491 वॉल्यूम
$491 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
49°F या उससे कम
नहीं
50-51°F
नहीं
52-53°F
नहीं
54-55°F
नहीं
56-57°F
नहीं
58-59°F
नहीं
60-61°F
हाँ
62-63°F
नहीं
64-65°F
नहीं
66-67°F
नहीं
68°F या उससे अधिक
नहीं
60-61°F 99%
49°F या उससे कम 20%
56-57°F 20%
58-59°F 20%
$491 वॉल्यूम
$491 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
49°F या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
50-51°F
$25 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
52-53°F
$35 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
54-55°F
$35 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
56-57°F
$91 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
58-59°F
$15 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
60-61°F
$290 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
62-63°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
64-65°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
66-67°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
68°F या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 90% implied probability for a 60-61°F low on September 12 stems from National Weather Service observations at key San Francisco stations confirming a minimum in that narrow range. Coastal moderation by the cold California Current and marine layer typically caps overnight drops, producing average September lows near 56°F, yet recent conditions featuring lighter onshore flow, reduced cloud cover, and minimal cold-air advection kept temperatures elevated through the night. This outcome sits well above historical extremes like the 49°F record while aligning with the period's mild pattern, giving traders strong confidence in the resolution criteria based on verified station data rather than model projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$491समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 90% implied probability for a 60-61°F low on September 12 stems from National Weather Service observations at key San Francisco stations confirming a minimum in that narrow range. Coastal moderation by the cold California Current and marine layer typically caps overnight drops, producing average September lows near 56°F, yet recent conditions featuring lighter onshore flow, reduced cloud cover, and minimal cold-air advection kept temperatures elevated through the night. This outcome sits well above historical extremes like the 49°F record while aligning with the period's mild pattern, giving traders strong confidence in the resolution criteria based on verified station data rather than model projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$491समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The dominant 90% implied probability for a 60-61°F low on September 12 stems from National Weather Service observations at key San Francisco stations confirming a minimum in that narrow range. Coastal moderation by the cold California Current and marine layer typically caps overnight drops, producing average September lows near 56°F, yet recent conditions featuring lighter onshore flow, reduced cloud cover, and minimal cold-air advection kept temperatures elevated through the night. This outcome sits well above historical extremes like the 49°F record while aligning with the period's mild pattern, giving traders strong confidence in the resolution criteria based on verified station data rather than model projections.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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