The closely matched market odds between 25°C (38%) and 26°C (46%) reflect substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Tokyo’s minimum temperature on August 9, driven by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency highlights a weak Pacific high-pressure ridge allowing modest onshore flow, which could enhance nighttime radiative cooling under clearer skies or limit it with increased humidity and light winds. Historical August minima average near 25–26°C, but urban heat-island effects and subtle shifts in the 850-hPa temperature field or precipitation timing can swing the overnight low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing limited diurnal temperature range against potential for slightly cooler advection if marine air strengthens.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया9 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
9 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
26°C 49%
25°C 40%
24°C 10%
27°C 10%
नया
नया
9 अग, 2026
21°C या उससे नीचे
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
40%
26°C
49%
27°C
10%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C या अधिक
1%
26°C 49%
25°C 40%
24°C 10%
27°C 10%
नया
नया
9 अग, 2026
21°C या उससे नीचे
$34 वॉल्यूम
1%
22°C
$34 वॉल्यूम
2%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
10%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
49%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
10%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
29°C
$34 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C या अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds between 25°C (38%) and 26°C (46%) reflect substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Tokyo’s minimum temperature on August 9, driven by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency highlights a weak Pacific high-pressure ridge allowing modest onshore flow, which could enhance nighttime radiative cooling under clearer skies or limit it with increased humidity and light winds. Historical August minima average near 25–26°C, but urban heat-island effects and subtle shifts in the 850-hPa temperature field or precipitation timing can swing the overnight low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing limited diurnal temperature range against potential for slightly cooler advection if marine air strengthens.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$121समाप्ति तिथि
9 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds between 25°C (38%) and 26°C (46%) reflect substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Tokyo’s minimum temperature on August 9, driven by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency highlights a weak Pacific high-pressure ridge allowing modest onshore flow, which could enhance nighttime radiative cooling under clearer skies or limit it with increased humidity and light winds. Historical August minima average near 25–26°C, but urban heat-island effects and subtle shifts in the 850-hPa temperature field or precipitation timing can swing the overnight low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing limited diurnal temperature range against potential for slightly cooler advection if marine air strengthens.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$121समाप्ति तिथि
9 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market odds between 25°C (38%) and 26°C (46%) reflect substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Tokyo’s minimum temperature on August 9, driven by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency highlights a weak Pacific high-pressure ridge allowing modest onshore flow, which could enhance nighttime radiative cooling under clearer skies or limit it with increased humidity and light winds. Historical August minima average near 25–26°C, but urban heat-island effects and subtle shifts in the 850-hPa temperature field or precipitation timing can swing the overnight low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing limited diurnal temperature range against potential for slightly cooler advection if marine air strengthens.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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