Current short-range forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS-based models indicate mainly clear skies and light northwest winds over Toronto on September 11, supporting a nighttime low near 12–15 °C under typical early-September radiational cooling. This aligns with the historical average low of 14.6 °C and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster around the central bins while assigning roughly equal weight to the 7 °C-or-below and 17 °C-or-higher tails. Ensemble spread remains modest given the stable high-pressure pattern and absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture, though minor variations in wind speed or residual cloud cover could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the key data for refining these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11 सितंबर को टोरंटो में सबसे कम तापमान?
11 सितंबर को टोरंटो में सबसे कम तापमान?
7°C या उससे नीचे 98%
17°C या अधिक 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
नया
नया
11 सित, 2026
7°C या उससे नीचे
98%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
20%
14°C
20%
15°C
20%
16°C
39%
17°C या अधिक
98%
7°C या उससे नीचे 98%
17°C या अधिक 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
नया
नया
11 सित, 2026
7°C या उससे नीचे
$0 वॉल्यूम
98%
8°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
9°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
10°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
11°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
20%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
20%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
20%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
17°C या अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS-based models indicate mainly clear skies and light northwest winds over Toronto on September 11, supporting a nighttime low near 12–15 °C under typical early-September radiational cooling. This aligns with the historical average low of 14.6 °C and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster around the central bins while assigning roughly equal weight to the 7 °C-or-below and 17 °C-or-higher tails. Ensemble spread remains modest given the stable high-pressure pattern and absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture, though minor variations in wind speed or residual cloud cover could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the key data for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS-based models indicate mainly clear skies and light northwest winds over Toronto on September 11, supporting a nighttime low near 12–15 °C under typical early-September radiational cooling. This aligns with the historical average low of 14.6 °C and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster around the central bins while assigning roughly equal weight to the 7 °C-or-below and 17 °C-or-higher tails. Ensemble spread remains modest given the stable high-pressure pattern and absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture, though minor variations in wind speed or residual cloud cover could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the key data for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS-based models indicate mainly clear skies and light northwest winds over Toronto on September 11, supporting a nighttime low near 12–15 °C under typical early-September radiational cooling. This aligns with the historical average low of 14.6 °C and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster around the central bins while assigning roughly equal weight to the 7 °C-or-below and 17 °C-or-higher tails. Ensemble spread remains modest given the stable high-pressure pattern and absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture, though minor variations in wind speed or residual cloud cover could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the key data for refining these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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