**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a minimum temperature of 15–16°C for Warsaw on August 29, 2026, reflecting the latest forecast consensus from models such as GFS.** Current observations and short-range guidance show daytime highs near 21–23°C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, with light to moderate westerly or southwesterly winds. Overnight, clearing skies combined with high humidity and weak winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, producing a low in the mid-teens Celsius during the pre-dawn hours. Polish meteorological guidance and multiple forecast sources converge on an overnight minimum around 14°C, with ensemble spreads placing the most probable values at 15–16°C. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for Warsaw, where average lows hover near 15°C and strong cold advection is absent. Probabilities for 13°C or lower remain modest because model runs show insufficient cooling, while outcomes above 17°C have negligible implied odds given the expected nocturnal drop. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will provide the final resolution data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया29 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे कम तापमान?
29 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे कम तापमान?
16°C 88%
15°C 23%
13°C 18%
14°C 11%
$953 वॉल्यूम
$953 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
18%
14°C
11%
15°C
23%
16°C
75%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 88%
15°C 23%
13°C 18%
14°C 11%
$953 वॉल्यूम
$953 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
11°C or below
$277 वॉल्यूम
1%
12°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
8%
13°C
$16 वॉल्यूम
18%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
15°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
23%
16°C
$59 वॉल्यूम
75%
17°C
$314 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$185 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C or higher
$25 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a minimum temperature of 15–16°C for Warsaw on August 29, 2026, reflecting the latest forecast consensus from models such as GFS.**
Current observations and short-range guidance show daytime highs near 21–23°C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, with light to moderate westerly or southwesterly winds. Overnight, clearing skies combined with high humidity and weak winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, producing a low in the mid-teens Celsius during the pre-dawn hours.
Polish meteorological guidance and multiple forecast sources converge on an overnight minimum around 14°C, with ensemble spreads placing the most probable values at 15–16°C. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for Warsaw, where average lows hover near 15°C and strong cold advection is absent. Probabilities for 13°C or lower remain modest because model runs show insufficient cooling, while outcomes above 17°C have negligible implied odds given the expected nocturnal drop. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$953समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a minimum temperature of 15–16°C for Warsaw on August 29, 2026, reflecting the latest forecast consensus from models such as GFS.**
Current observations and short-range guidance show daytime highs near 21–23°C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, with light to moderate westerly or southwesterly winds. Overnight, clearing skies combined with high humidity and weak winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, producing a low in the mid-teens Celsius during the pre-dawn hours.
Polish meteorological guidance and multiple forecast sources converge on an overnight minimum around 14°C, with ensemble spreads placing the most probable values at 15–16°C. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for Warsaw, where average lows hover near 15°C and strong cold advection is absent. Probabilities for 13°C or lower remain modest because model runs show insufficient cooling, while outcomes above 17°C have negligible implied odds given the expected nocturnal drop. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$953समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a minimum temperature of 15–16°C for Warsaw on August 29, 2026, reflecting the latest forecast consensus from models such as GFS.** Current observations and short-range guidance show daytime highs near 21–23°C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, with light to moderate westerly or southwesterly winds. Overnight, clearing skies combined with high humidity and weak winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, producing a low in the mid-teens Celsius during the pre-dawn hours. Polish meteorological guidance and multiple forecast sources converge on an overnight minimum around 14°C, with ensemble spreads placing the most probable values at 15–16°C. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for Warsaw, where average lows hover near 15°C and strong cold advection is absent. Probabilities for 13°C or lower remain modest because model runs show insufficient cooling, while outcomes above 17°C have negligible implied odds given the expected nocturnal drop. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening will provide the final resolution data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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