Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 16 likely ranging 12–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11°C. Radiative cooling during clear nocturnal periods, modulated by dew point and boundary-layer mixing, differentiates these bins, with lower outcomes favored if winds weaken below 3 m/s or high clouds thin. Recent model runs show modest cooling trends from prior days' warmer advection, yet ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to small changes in humidity and pressure gradients ahead of the next update cycle. Traders weigh these variables against climatological September minima near 10°C when assessing resolution risk.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे कम तापमान?
16°C या उससे अधिक 64%
6°C या उससे कम 61%
7°C 39%
13°C 39%
6°C या उससे कम
61%
7°C
39%
8°C
25%
9°C
29%
10°C
31%
11°C
24%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
13%
16°C या उससे अधिक
64%
16°C या उससे अधिक 64%
6°C या उससे कम 61%
7°C 39%
13°C 39%
6°C या उससे कम
61%
7°C
39%
8°C
25%
9°C
29%
10°C
31%
11°C
24%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
13%
16°C या उससे अधिक
64%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 16 likely ranging 12–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11°C. Radiative cooling during clear nocturnal periods, modulated by dew point and boundary-layer mixing, differentiates these bins, with lower outcomes favored if winds weaken below 3 m/s or high clouds thin. Recent model runs show modest cooling trends from prior days' warmer advection, yet ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to small changes in humidity and pressure gradients ahead of the next update cycle. Traders weigh these variables against climatological September minima near 10°C when assessing resolution risk.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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