**Latest official and model guidance points to a peak of 31–32 °C in Paris on 15 September 2026 under mostly clear skies and southwesterly flow.** Multiple short-range forecasts, including GFS-derived products and Met Office runs updated 14 September, converge on afternoon highs near 32 °C with dew points in the low teens and light winds favoring modest mixing. This represents a strong positive anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 average high of ~21–22 °C. Historical records show 34.3 °C as the September 15 benchmark (2020), so traders assign the bulk of probability mass to 32 °C (53.5 %) and 33 °C (26.0 %), with tail risk for 34 °C or higher remaining low (~6 %). No major model spread or rapid synoptic change has emerged in the past 24–48 hours to shift consensus away from this narrow range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 सितंबर को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 सितंबर को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 55%
33°C 27%
31°C 10%
30°C 6%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
10%
32°C
55%
33°C
27%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
1%
32°C 55%
33°C 27%
31°C 10%
30°C 6%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
$463 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$382 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$263 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$517 वॉल्यूम
2%
30°C
$1,039 वॉल्यूम
6%
31°C
$1,466 वॉल्यूम
10%
32°C
$2,449 वॉल्यूम
55%
33°C
$1,331 वॉल्यूम
27%
34°C
$1,203 वॉल्यूम
6%
35°C
$157 वॉल्यूम
1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
$203 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official and model guidance points to a peak of 31–32 °C in Paris on 15 September 2026 under mostly clear skies and southwesterly flow.**
Multiple short-range forecasts, including GFS-derived products and Met Office runs updated 14 September, converge on afternoon highs near 32 °C with dew points in the low teens and light winds favoring modest mixing. This represents a strong positive anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 average high of ~21–22 °C. Historical records show 34.3 °C as the September 15 benchmark (2020), so traders assign the bulk of probability mass to 32 °C (53.5 %) and 33 °C (26.0 %), with tail risk for 34 °C or higher remaining low (~6 %). No major model spread or rapid synoptic change has emerged in the past 24–48 hours to shift consensus away from this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,320समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official and model guidance points to a peak of 31–32 °C in Paris on 15 September 2026 under mostly clear skies and southwesterly flow.**
Multiple short-range forecasts, including GFS-derived products and Met Office runs updated 14 September, converge on afternoon highs near 32 °C with dew points in the low teens and light winds favoring modest mixing. This represents a strong positive anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 average high of ~21–22 °C. Historical records show 34.3 °C as the September 15 benchmark (2020), so traders assign the bulk of probability mass to 32 °C (53.5 %) and 33 °C (26.0 %), with tail risk for 34 °C or higher remaining low (~6 %). No major model spread or rapid synoptic change has emerged in the past 24–48 hours to shift consensus away from this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$9,320समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official and model guidance points to a peak of 31–32 °C in Paris on 15 September 2026 under mostly clear skies and southwesterly flow.** Multiple short-range forecasts, including GFS-derived products and Met Office runs updated 14 September, converge on afternoon highs near 32 °C with dew points in the low teens and light winds favoring modest mixing. This represents a strong positive anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 average high of ~21–22 °C. Historical records show 34.3 °C as the September 15 benchmark (2020), so traders assign the bulk of probability mass to 32 °C (53.5 %) and 33 °C (26.0 %), with tail risk for 34 °C or higher remaining low (~6 %). No major model spread or rapid synoptic change has emerged in the past 24–48 hours to shift consensus away from this narrow range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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