**Current forecasts from MetService and multiple international models indicate a minimum temperature of 10°C for Wellington on September 15, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Overnight conditions feature northerly to northwesterly winds of 20–25 mph under partly cloudy skies, with dew points near 10°C limiting further cooling. This matches the typical early-spring pattern, where September average lows hover around 9°C but recent model runs have stabilized near 10°C amid stable high pressure and mild advection. The strong consensus reflects real-time observational data showing daytime highs of 12–13°C and no incoming cold fronts strong enough to push readings lower before midnight. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted southerly change or localized radiational cooling under clearer skies, but current model agreement and proximity to resolution make such shifts unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
15 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
10°C 100.0%
5°C या उससे कम <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$1,952 वॉल्यूम
$1,952 वॉल्यूम
15 सित, 2026
5°C या उससे कम
नहीं
6°C
नहीं
7°C
नहीं
8°C
नहीं
9°C
नहीं
10°C
हाँ
11°C
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
नहीं
15°C या अधिक
नहीं
10°C 100.0%
5°C या उससे कम <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$1,952 वॉल्यूम
$1,952 वॉल्यूम
15 सित, 2026
5°C या उससे कम
$86 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
6°C
$146 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
7°C
$274 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
8°C
$140 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
9°C
$94 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
10°C
$229 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
11°C
$937 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
12°C
$16 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
13°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
14°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
15°C या अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from MetService and multiple international models indicate a minimum temperature of 10°C for Wellington on September 15, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability on that exact outcome.**
Overnight conditions feature northerly to northwesterly winds of 20–25 mph under partly cloudy skies, with dew points near 10°C limiting further cooling. This matches the typical early-spring pattern, where September average lows hover around 9°C but recent model runs have stabilized near 10°C amid stable high pressure and mild advection.
The strong consensus reflects real-time observational data showing daytime highs of 12–13°C and no incoming cold fronts strong enough to push readings lower before midnight. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted southerly change or localized radiational cooling under clearer skies, but current model agreement and proximity to resolution make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,952समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from MetService and multiple international models indicate a minimum temperature of 10°C for Wellington on September 15, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability on that exact outcome.**
Overnight conditions feature northerly to northwesterly winds of 20–25 mph under partly cloudy skies, with dew points near 10°C limiting further cooling. This matches the typical early-spring pattern, where September average lows hover around 9°C but recent model runs have stabilized near 10°C amid stable high pressure and mild advection.
The strong consensus reflects real-time observational data showing daytime highs of 12–13°C and no incoming cold fronts strong enough to push readings lower before midnight. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted southerly change or localized radiational cooling under clearer skies, but current model agreement and proximity to resolution make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,952समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
**Current forecasts from MetService and multiple international models indicate a minimum temperature of 10°C for Wellington on September 15, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability on that exact outcome.** Overnight conditions feature northerly to northwesterly winds of 20–25 mph under partly cloudy skies, with dew points near 10°C limiting further cooling. This matches the typical early-spring pattern, where September average lows hover around 9°C but recent model runs have stabilized near 10°C amid stable high pressure and mild advection. The strong consensus reflects real-time observational data showing daytime highs of 12–13°C and no incoming cold fronts strong enough to push readings lower before midnight. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted southerly change or localized radiational cooling under clearer skies, but current model agreement and proximity to resolution make such shifts unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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