**Incoming cold air advection and associated rainfall are the main drivers behind the closely matched market-implied odds for Wuhan's September 17 overnight low.** Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and numerical models indicate a sharp temperature drop from recent highs near 30°C, with expected lows clustered around 17–20°C amid overcast skies, moderate northeast winds, and moderate to heavy rain. This aligns with seasonal September averages of roughly 20–22°C but reflects enhanced cooling from northerly flow and reduced daytime heating. Cloud cover and precipitation limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while wind mixing may prevent sharper drops, keeping extreme outcomes (24°C+ or 14°C or below) as lower-probability scenarios dependent on the exact timing and strength of the frontal passage. Traders are weighing model consensus against potential forecast adjustments before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 सितंबर को वुहान में सबसे कम तापमान?
24°C या उससे अधिक 89%
14°C या उससे कम 88%
17°C 39%
21°C 39%
14°C या उससे कम
88%
15°C
16%
16°C
17%
17°C
39%
18°C
21%
19°C
22%
20°C
23%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
15%
24°C या उससे अधिक
89%
24°C या उससे अधिक 89%
14°C या उससे कम 88%
17°C 39%
21°C 39%
14°C या उससे कम
88%
15°C
16%
16°C
17%
17°C
39%
18°C
21%
19°C
22%
20°C
23%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
15%
24°C या उससे अधिक
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Incoming cold air advection and associated rainfall are the main drivers behind the closely matched market-implied odds for Wuhan's September 17 overnight low.** Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and numerical models indicate a sharp temperature drop from recent highs near 30°C, with expected lows clustered around 17–20°C amid overcast skies, moderate northeast winds, and moderate to heavy rain. This aligns with seasonal September averages of roughly 20–22°C but reflects enhanced cooling from northerly flow and reduced daytime heating. Cloud cover and precipitation limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while wind mixing may prevent sharper drops, keeping extreme outcomes (24°C+ or 14°C or below) as lower-probability scenarios dependent on the exact timing and strength of the frontal passage. Traders are weighing model consensus against potential forecast adjustments before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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