Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan composition reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent 80%+ Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advances with minimal opposition and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning trader consensus near 97% probability for a Democratic winner. A meaningful shift would require either a late scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean and turnout patterns.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएमडी -07 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
एमडी -07 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$24,360 वॉल्यूम
$24,360 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
97%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
2%
$24,360 वॉल्यूम
$24,360 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$15,273 वॉल्यूम
97%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$9,087 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan composition reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent 80%+ Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advances with minimal opposition and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning trader consensus near 97% probability for a Democratic winner. A meaningful shift would require either a late scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean and turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,360समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan composition reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent 80%+ Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advances with minimal opposition and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning trader consensus near 97% probability for a Democratic winner. A meaningful shift would require either a late scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean and turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$24,360समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th congressional district, encompassing much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan composition reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent 80%+ Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75% of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advances with minimal opposition and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, aligning trader consensus near 97% probability for a Democratic winner. A meaningful shift would require either a late scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean and turnout patterns.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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