Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Republican Party at 65.5% to win Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in the R+3 leaning district, where Donald Trump carried 52% in 2024. Recent polling, including a March Ragnar Research survey showing Huizenga leading Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann 48%-42%, bolsters GOP positioning despite McCann's Q1 fundraising edge over $1 million. Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the rating to Lean Republican as of May 12, signaling competitiveness amid Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, with August 4 primaries looming as the next key milestone before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMI-04 House Election Winner
MI-04 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
32%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$336 वॉल्यूम
64%
Democratic Party
$511 वॉल्यूम
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Republican Party at 65.5% to win Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in the R+3 leaning district, where Donald Trump carried 52% in 2024. Recent polling, including a March Ragnar Research survey showing Huizenga leading Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann 48%-42%, bolsters GOP positioning despite McCann's Q1 fundraising edge over $1 million. Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the rating to Lean Republican as of May 12, signaling competitiveness amid Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, with August 4 primaries looming as the next key milestone before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$847समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Republican Party at 65.5% to win Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in the R+3 leaning district, where Donald Trump carried 52% in 2024. Recent polling, including a March Ragnar Research survey showing Huizenga leading Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann 48%-42%, bolsters GOP positioning despite McCann's Q1 fundraising edge over $1 million. Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the rating to Lean Republican as of May 12, signaling competitiveness amid Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, with August 4 primaries looming as the next key milestone before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$847समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Republican Party at 65.5% to win Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in the R+3 leaning district, where Donald Trump carried 52% in 2024. Recent polling, including a March Ragnar Research survey showing Huizenga leading Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann 48%-42%, bolsters GOP positioning despite McCann's Q1 fundraising edge over $1 million. Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the rating to Lean Republican as of May 12, signaling competitiveness amid Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, with August 4 primaries looming as the next key milestone before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न