Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model—following the June 2026 release of Claude Fable 5 and restricted Mythos 5—faces a tight release window shaped by the lab’s historical 3–5 month cadence between frontier models. Traders have priced early-to-mid September dates highest because no major safety, regulatory, or compute hurdles have surfaced publicly since U.S. restrictions eased in late June, yet the model’s advanced autonomous cybersecurity capabilities continue to invite extended red-teaming and partner-only deployment reviews. Competitive pressure from xAI’s Grok 4.6 rollout in August and OpenAI’s phased GPT-5.6 updates adds urgency, while the sizable probability on “no release by September 30” reflects uncertainty over internal evaluation timelines and potential last-minute safeguards. The market-implied odds therefore hinge on whether Anthropic can clear remaining safety gates without further delays.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त 34%
13 सितंबर 34%
21 सितंबर 34%
27 अगस्त 34%
25 अगस्त को या उससे पहले
32%
26 अगस्त
33%
27 अगस्त
34%
28 अगस्त
33%
29 अगस्त
13%
30 अगस्त
9%
31 अगस्त
34%
1 सितंबर
31%
2 सितंबर
19%
3 सितंबर
34%
4 सितंबर
19%
5 सितंबर
19%
6 सितंबर
19%
7 सितम्बर
33%
8 सितंबर
34%
9 सितंबर
33%
10 सितंबर
32%
11 सितंबर
18%
12 सितंबर
26%
13 सितंबर
34%
14 सितंबर
34%
15 सितंबर
34%
16 सितंबर
19%
17 सितम्बर
33%
18 सितंबर
31%
19 सितंबर
32%
20 सितंबर
34%
21 सितंबर
34%
22 सितंबर
32%
23 सितंबर
19%
24 सितंबर
32%
25 सितंबर
31%
26 सितंबर
34%
27 सितंबर
31%
28 सितंबर
31%
29 सितंबर
18%
30 सितंबर
32%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
32%
31 अगस्त 34%
13 सितंबर 34%
21 सितंबर 34%
27 अगस्त 34%
25 अगस्त को या उससे पहले
32%
26 अगस्त
33%
27 अगस्त
34%
28 अगस्त
33%
29 अगस्त
13%
30 अगस्त
9%
31 अगस्त
34%
1 सितंबर
31%
2 सितंबर
19%
3 सितंबर
34%
4 सितंबर
19%
5 सितंबर
19%
6 सितंबर
19%
7 सितम्बर
33%
8 सितंबर
34%
9 सितंबर
33%
10 सितंबर
32%
11 सितंबर
18%
12 सितंबर
26%
13 सितंबर
34%
14 सितंबर
34%
15 सितंबर
34%
16 सितंबर
19%
17 सितम्बर
33%
18 सितंबर
31%
19 सितंबर
32%
20 सितंबर
34%
21 सितंबर
34%
22 सितंबर
32%
23 सितंबर
19%
24 सितंबर
32%
25 सितंबर
31%
26 सितंबर
34%
27 सितंबर
31%
28 सितंबर
31%
29 सितंबर
18%
30 सितंबर
32%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
32%
Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 7:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model—following the June 2026 release of Claude Fable 5 and restricted Mythos 5—faces a tight release window shaped by the lab’s historical 3–5 month cadence between frontier models. Traders have priced early-to-mid September dates highest because no major safety, regulatory, or compute hurdles have surfaced publicly since U.S. restrictions eased in late June, yet the model’s advanced autonomous cybersecurity capabilities continue to invite extended red-teaming and partner-only deployment reviews. Competitive pressure from xAI’s Grok 4.6 rollout in August and OpenAI’s phased GPT-5.6 updates adds urgency, while the sizable probability on “no release by September 30” reflects uncertainty over internal evaluation timelines and potential last-minute safeguards. The market-implied odds therefore hinge on whether Anthropic can clear remaining safety gates without further delays.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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