Google’s ongoing delays for Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement, then slipped to July—drive the market’s elevated “no release by November 1” odds at 58%. As of mid-August, the flagship model remains in partner testing with only vague “coming soon” statements, while lighter 3.5-series variants shipped in July and Gemini 4 pre-training has begun. This pattern of internal performance shortfalls and cautious rollout supports the clustered September–October weekly probabilities near 38–43%, reflecting trader expectations of a possible near-term launch tempered by repeated timeline slippage and the absence of any confirmed date or certification milestones.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 नवंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 57%
7 सितंबर–13 सितंबर 42%
31 अगस्त–6 सितंबर 41%
14 सितंबर–20 सितंबर 41%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
31 अगस्त से पहले
34%
31 अगस्त–6 सितंबर
41%
7 सितंबर–13 सितंबर
42%
14 सितंबर–20 सितंबर
41%
21 सितंबर–27 सितंबर
40%
28 सितंबर–4 अक्टूबर
36%
5 अक्टूबर–11 अक्टूबर
38%
12 अक्टूबर–18 अक्टूबर
36%
19 अक्टूबर – 25 अक्टूबर
38%
26 अक्टूबर–1 नवंबर
37%
1 नवंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
57%
1 नवंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 57%
7 सितंबर–13 सितंबर 42%
31 अगस्त–6 सितंबर 41%
14 सितंबर–20 सितंबर 41%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
31 अगस्त से पहले
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
31 अगस्त–6 सितंबर
$0 वॉल्यूम
41%
7 सितंबर–13 सितंबर
$0 वॉल्यूम
42%
14 सितंबर–20 सितंबर
$0 वॉल्यूम
41%
21 सितंबर–27 सितंबर
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
28 सितंबर–4 अक्टूबर
$0 वॉल्यूम
36%
5 अक्टूबर–11 अक्टूबर
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
12 अक्टूबर–18 अक्टूबर
$0 वॉल्यूम
36%
19 अक्टूबर – 25 अक्टूबर
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
26 अक्टूबर–1 नवंबर
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
1 नवंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
$31 वॉल्यूम
57%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays for Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement, then slipped to July—drive the market’s elevated “no release by November 1” odds at 58%. As of mid-August, the flagship model remains in partner testing with only vague “coming soon” statements, while lighter 3.5-series variants shipped in July and Gemini 4 pre-training has begun. This pattern of internal performance shortfalls and cautious rollout supports the clustered September–October weekly probabilities near 38–43%, reflecting trader expectations of a possible near-term launch tempered by repeated timeline slippage and the absence of any confirmed date or certification milestones.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$31समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays for Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement, then slipped to July—drive the market’s elevated “no release by November 1” odds at 58%. As of mid-August, the flagship model remains in partner testing with only vague “coming soon” statements, while lighter 3.5-series variants shipped in July and Gemini 4 pre-training has begun. This pattern of internal performance shortfalls and cautious rollout supports the clustered September–October weekly probabilities near 38–43%, reflecting trader expectations of a possible near-term launch tempered by repeated timeline slippage and the absence of any confirmed date or certification milestones.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$31समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s ongoing delays for Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement, then slipped to July—drive the market’s elevated “no release by November 1” odds at 58%. As of mid-August, the flagship model remains in partner testing with only vague “coming soon” statements, while lighter 3.5-series variants shipped in July and Gemini 4 pre-training has begun. This pattern of internal performance shortfalls and cautious rollout supports the clustered September–October weekly probabilities near 38–43%, reflecting trader expectations of a possible near-term launch tempered by repeated timeline slippage and the absence of any confirmed date or certification milestones.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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