Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election for New York’s 5th congressional district, centered in southeast Queens. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in Meeks’s 72.9 percent victory in 2024 and a partisan voting index exceeding D+20, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Meeks, first elected in 1998, advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Substantial fundraising by the incumbent, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or recent district-altering events, reinforces expectations of continued Democratic control. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national electoral wave, incumbent health developments, or late-breaking scandals, though none currently appear on the horizon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -05 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
NY -05 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$53,029 वॉल्यूम
$53,029 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
97%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
3%
$53,029 वॉल्यूम
$53,029 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$20,963 वॉल्यूम
97%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$32,066 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election for New York’s 5th congressional district, centered in southeast Queens. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in Meeks’s 72.9 percent victory in 2024 and a partisan voting index exceeding D+20, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Meeks, first elected in 1998, advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Substantial fundraising by the incumbent, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or recent district-altering events, reinforces expectations of continued Democratic control. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national electoral wave, incumbent health developments, or late-breaking scandals, though none currently appear on the horizon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$53,029समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election for New York’s 5th congressional district, centered in southeast Queens. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in Meeks’s 72.9 percent victory in 2024 and a partisan voting index exceeding D+20, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Meeks, first elected in 1998, advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Substantial fundraising by the incumbent, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or recent district-altering events, reinforces expectations of continued Democratic control. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national electoral wave, incumbent health developments, or late-breaking scandals, though none currently appear on the horizon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$53,029समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election for New York’s 5th congressional district, centered in southeast Queens. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in Meeks’s 72.9 percent victory in 2024 and a partisan voting index exceeding D+20, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Meeks, first elected in 1998, advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Substantial fundraising by the incumbent, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or recent district-altering events, reinforces expectations of continued Democratic control. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national electoral wave, incumbent health developments, or late-breaking scandals, though none currently appear on the horizon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न