Skip to main content
icon for NY -07 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी मार्जिन ऑफ़ विक्ट्री

NY -07 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी मार्जिन ऑफ़ विक्ट्री

icon for NY -07 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी मार्जिन ऑफ़ विक्ट्री

NY -07 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी मार्जिन ऑफ़ विक्ट्री

वाल्डेज़ 10–15% 24%

वाल्डेज़ <5% 19%

वाल्डेज़ 5–10% 18.4%

रेयनोसो <5% 12.4%

Polymarket
नया

वाल्डेज़ 10–15% 24%

वाल्डेज़ <5% 19%

वाल्डेज़ 5–10% 18.4%

रेयनोसो <5% 12.4%

Polymarket
नया

वाल्डेज़ 15%+

$143 वॉल्यूम

11%

वाल्डेज़ 10–15%

$202 वॉल्यूम

24%

वाल्डेज़ 5–10%

$662 वॉल्यूम

18%

वाल्डेज़ <5%

$816 वॉल्यूम

19%

रेयनोसो <5%

$64 वॉल्यूम

12%

रेयनोसो 5%+

$1,549 वॉल्यूम

12%

अन्य

$145 वॉल्यूम

6%

Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The tight race for New York’s 7th Congressional District Democratic nomination, set for June 23, centers on a close contest between Assembly Member Claire Valdez and Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, with a May Emerson poll showing Valdez at 23% and Reynoso at 21% among likely voters and 43% undecided. A June 3 debate, competing endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani for Valdez and retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez for Reynoso, and an age split in support have sustained uncertainty over the final margin. Strong fundraising by both, alongside Julie Won’s presence, keeps outcomes fluid heading into early voting, with traders viewing a narrow result as the most likely path absent late shifts in turnout among key progressive and labor blocs.

Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$3,581
समाप्ति तिथि
23 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The tight race for New York’s 7th Congressional District Democratic nomination, set for June 23, centers on a close contest between Assembly Member Claire Valdez and Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, with a May Emerson poll showing Valdez at 23% and Reynoso at 21% among likely voters and 43% undecided. A June 3 debate, competing endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani for Valdez and retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez for Reynoso, and an age split in support have sustained uncertainty over the final margin. Strong fundraising by both, alongside Julie Won’s presence, keeps outcomes fluid heading into early voting, with traders viewing a narrow result as the most likely path absent late shifts in turnout among key progressive and labor blocs.

Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$3,581
समाप्ति तिथि
23 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"NY -07 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी मार्जिन ऑफ़ विक्ट्री" Polymarket पर 7 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, वाल्डेज़ 10–15% 24% (24¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद वाल्डेज़ <5% 19% पर है।

"NY -07 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी मार्जिन ऑफ़ विक्ट्री" Polymarket पर एक नवनिर्मित बाज़ार है, Jun 18, 2026 को लॉन्च किया गया। एक शुरुआती बाज़ार के रूप में, यह पहले ट्रेडरों में शामिल होने और संभावनाएँ सेट करने और बाज़ार के शुरुआती मूल्य संकेत स्थापित करने का आपका अवसर है। आप समय के साथ बाज़ार की गति बढ़ने पर वॉल्यूम और ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि को ट्रैक करने के लिए इस पेज को बुकमार्क भी कर सकते हैं।

"NY -07 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी मार्जिन ऑफ़ विक्ट्री" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 7 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"NY -07 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी मार्जिन ऑफ़ विक्ट्री" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "वाल्डेज़ 10–15%" 24% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "वाल्डेज़ <5%" 19% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"NY -07 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी मार्जिन ऑफ़ विक्ट्री" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।