Multiple candidates including Micah Lasher, Alex Bores, and Jack Schlossberg remain closely bunched in recent polling with large undecided shares among older voters, who are projected to comprise 65-75% of the June 23 primary electorate in the Manhattan-based district. This fragmentation, combined with cross-neighborhood outreach that blurs traditional East-West divides and competing emphases on state legislative records, AI policy, and public service experience, sustains expectations of a narrow victory margin. A decisive last-week surge in endorsements, turnout mobilization, or debate-driven shifts among undecided voters could produce separation, while persistent splits would reinforce the current tight positioning reflected in trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाबोर्स <5% 50%
लैशर <5% 49%
लैशर 10–15% 42%
लैशर 15%+ 41%
नया
नया
24 जून, 2026
लैशर 15%+
41%
लैशर 10–15%
42%
लैशर 5–10%
36%
लैशर <5%
49%
बोर्स 5%+
41%
बोर्स <5%
50%
श्लॉसबर्ग ने जीत हासिल की
37%
बोर्स <5% 50%
लैशर <5% 49%
लैशर 10–15% 42%
लैशर 15%+ 41%
नया
नया
24 जून, 2026
लैशर 15%+
$0 वॉल्यूम
41%
लैशर 10–15%
$0 वॉल्यूम
42%
लैशर 5–10%
$0 वॉल्यूम
36%
लैशर <5%
$0 वॉल्यूम
49%
बोर्स 5%+
$0 वॉल्यूम
41%
बोर्स <5%
$0 वॉल्यूम
50%
श्लॉसबर्ग ने जीत हासिल की
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Multiple candidates including Micah Lasher, Alex Bores, and Jack Schlossberg remain closely bunched in recent polling with large undecided shares among older voters, who are projected to comprise 65-75% of the June 23 primary electorate in the Manhattan-based district. This fragmentation, combined with cross-neighborhood outreach that blurs traditional East-West divides and competing emphases on state legislative records, AI policy, and public service experience, sustains expectations of a narrow victory margin. A decisive last-week surge in endorsements, turnout mobilization, or debate-driven shifts among undecided voters could produce separation, while persistent splits would reinforce the current tight positioning reflected in trader consensus.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
24 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Multiple candidates including Micah Lasher, Alex Bores, and Jack Schlossberg remain closely bunched in recent polling with large undecided shares among older voters, who are projected to comprise 65-75% of the June 23 primary electorate in the Manhattan-based district. This fragmentation, combined with cross-neighborhood outreach that blurs traditional East-West divides and competing emphases on state legislative records, AI policy, and public service experience, sustains expectations of a narrow victory margin. A decisive last-week surge in endorsements, turnout mobilization, or debate-driven shifts among undecided voters could produce separation, while persistent splits would reinforce the current tight positioning reflected in trader consensus.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
24 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple candidates including Micah Lasher, Alex Bores, and Jack Schlossberg remain closely bunched in recent polling with large undecided shares among older voters, who are projected to comprise 65-75% of the June 23 primary electorate in the Manhattan-based district. This fragmentation, combined with cross-neighborhood outreach that blurs traditional East-West divides and competing emphases on state legislative records, AI policy, and public service experience, sustains expectations of a narrow victory margin. A decisive last-week surge in endorsements, turnout mobilization, or debate-driven shifts among undecided voters could produce separation, while persistent splits would reinforce the current tight positioning reflected in trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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