In the Paraíba Senate race for one of two seats up in October 2026, recent polling shows a fragmented contest where João Azevêdo leads but several contenders remain closely bunched for second place. DataTrends and Real Time Big Data surveys from June and July indicate Veneziano Vital do Rêgo, Marcelo Queiroga, Nabor Wanderley, and Major Fábio as the primary challengers, with support levels leaving limited separation between them. Party coalitions, including alliances tied to the federal government and opposition groups, along with regional strongholds in the state, continue to shape voter preferences without a decisive shift. With roughly two months until the vote and no major new surveys or candidate withdrawals reported in the past month, traders see the second-place outcome as highly contested, where modest changes in turnout among key blocs or late campaign momentum could reorder the rankings.