As of mid-August 2026, early-month convective thunderstorms and localized heavy downpours have contributed several inches to NYC totals, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 4–6+ inches. Remaining weeks feature a forecast shift toward sunnier, warmer conditions with isolated storms, per long-range guidance, limiting additional accumulation potential. Differentiating outcomes hinge on Atlantic moisture influx, sea surface temperatures fueling instability, and steering patterns from the jet stream or high-pressure ridges—factors that can produce brief extreme rainfall rates exceeding 1–2 inches per hour or suppress activity entirely. With August normals near 4.5–5 inches, trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty in late-summer convective variability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPrecipitation in NYC in August?
Precipitation in NYC in August?
>6" 39%
4-5" 38%
3-4" 24%
2-3" 11.8%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
<2"
3%
2-3"
22%
3-4"
24%
4-5"
38%
5-6"
38%
>6"
39%
>6" 39%
4-5" 38%
3-4" 24%
2-3" 11.8%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
<2"
$853 वॉल्यूम
3%
2-3"
$256 वॉल्यूम
22%
3-4"
$26 वॉल्यूम
24%
4-5"
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
5-6"
$15 वॉल्यूम
38%
>6"
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of mid-August 2026, early-month convective thunderstorms and localized heavy downpours have contributed several inches to NYC totals, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 4–6+ inches. Remaining weeks feature a forecast shift toward sunnier, warmer conditions with isolated storms, per long-range guidance, limiting additional accumulation potential. Differentiating outcomes hinge on Atlantic moisture influx, sea surface temperatures fueling instability, and steering patterns from the jet stream or high-pressure ridges—factors that can produce brief extreme rainfall rates exceeding 1–2 inches per hour or suppress activity entirely. With August normals near 4.5–5 inches, trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty in late-summer convective variability.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,150समाप्ति तिथि
1 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of mid-August 2026, early-month convective thunderstorms and localized heavy downpours have contributed several inches to NYC totals, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 4–6+ inches. Remaining weeks feature a forecast shift toward sunnier, warmer conditions with isolated storms, per long-range guidance, limiting additional accumulation potential. Differentiating outcomes hinge on Atlantic moisture influx, sea surface temperatures fueling instability, and steering patterns from the jet stream or high-pressure ridges—factors that can produce brief extreme rainfall rates exceeding 1–2 inches per hour or suppress activity entirely. With August normals near 4.5–5 inches, trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty in late-summer convective variability.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$1,150समाप्ति तिथि
1 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...As of mid-August 2026, early-month convective thunderstorms and localized heavy downpours have contributed several inches to NYC totals, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 4–6+ inches. Remaining weeks feature a forecast shift toward sunnier, warmer conditions with isolated storms, per long-range guidance, limiting additional accumulation potential. Differentiating outcomes hinge on Atlantic moisture influx, sea surface temperatures fueling instability, and steering patterns from the jet stream or high-pressure ridges—factors that can produce brief extreme rainfall rates exceeding 1–2 inches per hour or suppress activity entirely. With August normals near 4.5–5 inches, trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty in late-summer convective variability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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