Recent polling trends and declining presidential approval ratings have shaped trader expectations for Republican performance in the 2026 midterms. With Republicans holding a narrow majority entering the cycle, generic ballot averages show Democrats ahead by roughly five to six points, consistent with historical patterns of losses for the president's party. Redistricting developments in states such as Virginia and Tennessee have produced modest map adjustments, while economic indicators and voter sentiment continue to factor into forecasts of net Republican seat losses in the low to mid double digits. These dynamics support elevated probabilities on outcomes below 200 seats, though late-cycle economic shifts or turnout surges could still narrow the range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 के मध्यावधि चुनावों के बाद रिपब्लिकन हाउस की सीटें?
2026 के मध्यावधि चुनावों के बाद रिपब्लिकन हाउस की सीटें?
190 से कम 27%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.4%
215-219 11.1%
$234,839 वॉल्यूम
$234,839 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
190 से कम
27%
190-194
11%
195-199
12%
200-204
11%
205-209
10%
210-214
9%
215-219
11%
220-224
9%
225-229
3%
230+
2%
190 से कम 27%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.4%
215-219 11.1%
$234,839 वॉल्यूम
$234,839 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
190 से कम
$17,616 वॉल्यूम
27%
190-194
$8,513 वॉल्यूम
11%
195-199
$28,129 वॉल्यूम
12%
200-204
$22,115 वॉल्यूम
11%
205-209
$35,376 वॉल्यूम
10%
210-214
$12,841 वॉल्यूम
9%
215-219
$8,059 वॉल्यूम
11%
220-224
$53,714 वॉल्यूम
9%
225-229
$21,391 वॉल्यूम
3%
230+
$27,084 वॉल्यूम
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling trends and declining presidential approval ratings have shaped trader expectations for Republican performance in the 2026 midterms. With Republicans holding a narrow majority entering the cycle, generic ballot averages show Democrats ahead by roughly five to six points, consistent with historical patterns of losses for the president's party. Redistricting developments in states such as Virginia and Tennessee have produced modest map adjustments, while economic indicators and voter sentiment continue to factor into forecasts of net Republican seat losses in the low to mid double digits. These dynamics support elevated probabilities on outcomes below 200 seats, though late-cycle economic shifts or turnout surges could still narrow the range.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$234,839समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling trends and declining presidential approval ratings have shaped trader expectations for Republican performance in the 2026 midterms. With Republicans holding a narrow majority entering the cycle, generic ballot averages show Democrats ahead by roughly five to six points, consistent with historical patterns of losses for the president's party. Redistricting developments in states such as Virginia and Tennessee have produced modest map adjustments, while economic indicators and voter sentiment continue to factor into forecasts of net Republican seat losses in the low to mid double digits. These dynamics support elevated probabilities on outcomes below 200 seats, though late-cycle economic shifts or turnout surges could still narrow the range.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$234,839समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling trends and declining presidential approval ratings have shaped trader expectations for Republican performance in the 2026 midterms. With Republicans holding a narrow majority entering the cycle, generic ballot averages show Democrats ahead by roughly five to six points, consistent with historical patterns of losses for the president's party. Redistricting developments in states such as Virginia and Tennessee have produced modest map adjustments, while economic indicators and voter sentiment continue to factor into forecasts of net Republican seat losses in the low to mid double digits. These dynamics support elevated probabilities on outcomes below 200 seats, though late-cycle economic shifts or turnout surges could still narrow the range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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