Recent U.S.-mediated diplomacy has produced a confirmed three-day ceasefire from May 9 to 11, 2026, accompanied by an initial 205-for-205 prisoner exchange and plans for a larger 1,000-for-1,000 swap. Both Moscow and Kyiv endorsed the pause in kinetic operations to mark Russia’s Victory Day, marking the first battlefield lull in months amid renewed trilateral talks. Russian officials continue to condition any sustained agreement on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and other occupied regions, while Ukrainian negotiators emphasize security guarantees and territorial integrity. Earlier Geneva sessions in February yielded limited progress, and battlefield advances persist alongside stalled broader negotiations. These verified steps, coupled with upcoming diplomatic contacts, shape assessments of timelines for a comprehensive ceasefire.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारूस x यूक्रेन द्वारा संघर्ष विराम समझौता...?
रूस x यूक्रेन द्वारा संघर्ष विराम समझौता...?
$662,724 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
31 मई
3%
30 जून
12%
31 अक्टूबर
38%
31 दिसंबर
51%
$662,724 वॉल्यूम
31 मई
$285,823 वॉल्यूम
3%
30 जून
$197,643 वॉल्यूम
12%
31 अक्टूबर
$57,074 वॉल्यूम
38%
31 दिसंबर
$122,335 वॉल्यूम
51%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated diplomacy has produced a confirmed three-day ceasefire from May 9 to 11, 2026, accompanied by an initial 205-for-205 prisoner exchange and plans for a larger 1,000-for-1,000 swap. Both Moscow and Kyiv endorsed the pause in kinetic operations to mark Russia’s Victory Day, marking the first battlefield lull in months amid renewed trilateral talks. Russian officials continue to condition any sustained agreement on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and other occupied regions, while Ukrainian negotiators emphasize security guarantees and territorial integrity. Earlier Geneva sessions in February yielded limited progress, and battlefield advances persist alongside stalled broader negotiations. These verified steps, coupled with upcoming diplomatic contacts, shape assessments of timelines for a comprehensive ceasefire.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$662,724समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated diplomacy has produced a confirmed three-day ceasefire from May 9 to 11, 2026, accompanied by an initial 205-for-205 prisoner exchange and plans for a larger 1,000-for-1,000 swap. Both Moscow and Kyiv endorsed the pause in kinetic operations to mark Russia’s Victory Day, marking the first battlefield lull in months amid renewed trilateral talks. Russian officials continue to condition any sustained agreement on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and other occupied regions, while Ukrainian negotiators emphasize security guarantees and territorial integrity. Earlier Geneva sessions in February yielded limited progress, and battlefield advances persist alongside stalled broader negotiations. These verified steps, coupled with upcoming diplomatic contacts, shape assessments of timelines for a comprehensive ceasefire.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$662,724समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-mediated diplomacy has produced a confirmed three-day ceasefire from May 9 to 11, 2026, accompanied by an initial 205-for-205 prisoner exchange and plans for a larger 1,000-for-1,000 swap. Both Moscow and Kyiv endorsed the pause in kinetic operations to mark Russia’s Victory Day, marking the first battlefield lull in months amid renewed trilateral talks. Russian officials continue to condition any sustained agreement on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and other occupied regions, while Ukrainian negotiators emphasize security guarantees and territorial integrity. Earlier Geneva sessions in February yielded limited progress, and battlefield advances persist alongside stalled broader negotiations. These verified steps, coupled with upcoming diplomatic contacts, shape assessments of timelines for a comprehensive ceasefire.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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