**The open SC-01 seat, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean—Trump carried it in 2020 and 2024—and historical incumbent-free hold patterns in similar battleground areas.** A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates heads to the June 9 vote, where an April 17 GOP forum straw poll showed Mark Smith edging Alex Pelbath at 34%, signaling no dominant frontrunner but strong party infrastructure. Democrats, with contenders like Navy veteran Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford, face steeper path-to-victory amid limited polling and fundraising edges for the GOP; upcoming primary outcomes and early voting trends could shift general election dynamics by November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSC -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
SC -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$36,515 वॉल्यूम
$36,515 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
69%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
30%
$36,515 वॉल्यूम
$36,515 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$6,605 वॉल्यूम
69%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$29,910 वॉल्यूम
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The open SC-01 seat, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean—Trump carried it in 2020 and 2024—and historical incumbent-free hold patterns in similar battleground areas.** A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates heads to the June 9 vote, where an April 17 GOP forum straw poll showed Mark Smith edging Alex Pelbath at 34%, signaling no dominant frontrunner but strong party infrastructure. Democrats, with contenders like Navy veteran Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford, face steeper path-to-victory amid limited polling and fundraising edges for the GOP; upcoming primary outcomes and early voting trends could shift general election dynamics by November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$36,515समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The open SC-01 seat, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean—Trump carried it in 2020 and 2024—and historical incumbent-free hold patterns in similar battleground areas.** A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates heads to the June 9 vote, where an April 17 GOP forum straw poll showed Mark Smith edging Alex Pelbath at 34%, signaling no dominant frontrunner but strong party infrastructure. Democrats, with contenders like Navy veteran Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford, face steeper path-to-victory amid limited polling and fundraising edges for the GOP; upcoming primary outcomes and early voting trends could shift general election dynamics by November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$36,515समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The open SC-01 seat, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus favoring Republicans at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean—Trump carried it in 2020 and 2024—and historical incumbent-free hold patterns in similar battleground areas.** A crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates heads to the June 9 vote, where an April 17 GOP forum straw poll showed Mark Smith edging Alex Pelbath at 34%, signaling no dominant frontrunner but strong party infrastructure. Democrats, with contenders like Navy veteran Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford, face steeper path-to-victory amid limited polling and fundraising edges for the GOP; upcoming primary outcomes and early voting trends could shift general election dynamics by November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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