Somaliland’s House of Elders recently approved a 27-month extension of the House of Representatives and local council terms after the National Electoral Commission cited security, technical, and drought-related obstacles to the planned May 2026 vote. This decision, which far exceeds the commission’s requested 10-month delay, has solidified trader consensus that parliamentary elections are unlikely before 2027. The ruling Waddani party, whose leader Abdirahman Irro won the presidency in November 2024, holds the highest probability among the three recognized parties should voting occur, while UCID and Kulmiye remain marginal. Historical patterns of repeated postponements and ongoing constitutional debates over electoral timelines further reinforce the market’s emphasis on deferral over any immediate contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासोमालीलैंड संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
सोमालीलैंड संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 88%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 2.2%
कुलमिये 1.1%
वदानी 0
$18,392 वॉल्यूम
$18,392 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
81%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
2%
कुलमिये
1%
वदानी
28%
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 88%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 2.2%
कुलमिये 1.1%
वदानी 0
$18,392 वॉल्यूम
$18,392 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
$10,033 वॉल्यूम
81%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
$3,877 वॉल्यूम
2%
कुलमिये
$2,458 वॉल्यूम
1%
वदानी
$2,023 वॉल्यूम
28%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders recently approved a 27-month extension of the House of Representatives and local council terms after the National Electoral Commission cited security, technical, and drought-related obstacles to the planned May 2026 vote. This decision, which far exceeds the commission’s requested 10-month delay, has solidified trader consensus that parliamentary elections are unlikely before 2027. The ruling Waddani party, whose leader Abdirahman Irro won the presidency in November 2024, holds the highest probability among the three recognized parties should voting occur, while UCID and Kulmiye remain marginal. Historical patterns of repeated postponements and ongoing constitutional debates over electoral timelines further reinforce the market’s emphasis on deferral over any immediate contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,392समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders recently approved a 27-month extension of the House of Representatives and local council terms after the National Electoral Commission cited security, technical, and drought-related obstacles to the planned May 2026 vote. This decision, which far exceeds the commission’s requested 10-month delay, has solidified trader consensus that parliamentary elections are unlikely before 2027. The ruling Waddani party, whose leader Abdirahman Irro won the presidency in November 2024, holds the highest probability among the three recognized parties should voting occur, while UCID and Kulmiye remain marginal. Historical patterns of repeated postponements and ongoing constitutional debates over electoral timelines further reinforce the market’s emphasis on deferral over any immediate contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
वॉल्यूम
$18,392समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s House of Elders recently approved a 27-month extension of the House of Representatives and local council terms after the National Electoral Commission cited security, technical, and drought-related obstacles to the planned May 2026 vote. This decision, which far exceeds the commission’s requested 10-month delay, has solidified trader consensus that parliamentary elections are unlikely before 2027. The ruling Waddani party, whose leader Abdirahman Irro won the presidency in November 2024, holds the highest probability among the three recognized parties should voting occur, while UCID and Kulmiye remain marginal. Historical patterns of repeated postponements and ongoing constitutional debates over electoral timelines further reinforce the market’s emphasis on deferral over any immediate contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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