Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend—the highest ever, narrowly topping Avengers: Endgame—drives the overwhelming 78% market-implied probability for a $900 million+ total by August 31. The Tom Holland-led Marvel/Sony release benefited from exceptional previews, broad audience appeal, and a summer slot with limited immediate competition, fueling rapid accumulation in its first days. Traders are pricing in strong multiplier potential through the remainder of August despite typical superhero legs, supported by international momentum exceeding $570 million in the opening frame and ongoing cultural buzz around the franchise. Key upcoming catalysts include the second-weekend hold and any mid-month marketing pushes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया"स्पाइडर - मैन: ब्रांड न्यू डे" 31 अगस्त तक कुल घरेलू ग्रॉस?
"स्पाइडर - मैन: ब्रांड न्यू डे" 31 अगस्त तक कुल घरेलू ग्रॉस?
900 मिलियन+ 78.2%
800 - 900मिली 20%
700 - 800 मिलियन 3.0%
600 - 700m <1%
$298,594 वॉल्यूम
$298,594 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
<400m
<1%
400 - 500 मिलियन
1%
500 - 600 मिलियन
1%
600 - 700m
1%
700 - 800 मिलियन
3%
800 - 900मिली
20%
900 मिलियन+
78%
900 मिलियन+ 78.2%
800 - 900मिली 20%
700 - 800 मिलियन 3.0%
600 - 700m <1%
$298,594 वॉल्यूम
$298,594 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
<400m
$5,823 वॉल्यूम
<1%
400 - 500 मिलियन
$15,762 वॉल्यूम
1%
500 - 600 मिलियन
$23,418 वॉल्यूम
1%
600 - 700m
$23,334 वॉल्यूम
1%
700 - 800 मिलियन
$20,247 वॉल्यूम
3%
800 - 900मिली
$28,089 वॉल्यूम
20%
900 मिलियन+
$181,920 वॉल्यूम
78%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend—the highest ever, narrowly topping Avengers: Endgame—drives the overwhelming 78% market-implied probability for a $900 million+ total by August 31. The Tom Holland-led Marvel/Sony release benefited from exceptional previews, broad audience appeal, and a summer slot with limited immediate competition, fueling rapid accumulation in its first days. Traders are pricing in strong multiplier potential through the remainder of August despite typical superhero legs, supported by international momentum exceeding $570 million in the opening frame and ongoing cultural buzz around the franchise. Key upcoming catalysts include the second-weekend hold and any mid-month marketing pushes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$298,594समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend—the highest ever, narrowly topping Avengers: Endgame—drives the overwhelming 78% market-implied probability for a $900 million+ total by August 31. The Tom Holland-led Marvel/Sony release benefited from exceptional previews, broad audience appeal, and a summer slot with limited immediate competition, fueling rapid accumulation in its first days. Traders are pricing in strong multiplier potential through the remainder of August despite typical superhero legs, supported by international momentum exceeding $570 million in the opening frame and ongoing cultural buzz around the franchise. Key upcoming catalysts include the second-weekend hold and any mid-month marketing pushes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
वॉल्यूम
$298,594समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend—the highest ever, narrowly topping Avengers: Endgame—drives the overwhelming 78% market-implied probability for a $900 million+ total by August 31. The Tom Holland-led Marvel/Sony release benefited from exceptional previews, broad audience appeal, and a summer slot with limited immediate competition, fueling rapid accumulation in its first days. Traders are pricing in strong multiplier potential through the remainder of August despite typical superhero legs, supported by international momentum exceeding $570 million in the opening frame and ongoing cultural buzz around the franchise. Key upcoming catalysts include the second-weekend hold and any mid-month marketing pushes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न