The Surrey mayoral race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 17, 2026, vote because multiple candidates and slates—including incumbent Brenda Locke of Surrey Connect, former mayor Doug McCallum of Safe Surrey Coalition, councillor Linda Annis of Surrey First, Mike Starchuk of Imagine Surrey, Troy Van Vliet of Surrey NOW, and Honveer Singh Randhawa of the Conservative Electors Association—have each secured notable name recognition and organized support without any single contender pulling decisively ahead. Locke’s March re-election announcement and May State of the City address, McCallum’s July campaign launch with pledges on taxes and permitting, and earlier entries by Annis and Starchuk have kept the field fragmented. With no dominant polling available and several parties contesting both the mayoralty and council seats, trader probabilities reflect high uncertainty and potential vote splitting. Upcoming all-candidates forums and nomination deadlines could shift momentum if one candidate consolidates support on key local issues such as housing, public safety, or fiscal policy.