Incumbent Republican Keith Self secured the nomination in Texas' 3rd Congressional District GOP primary on March 3, solidifying his path in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report after 2025 redistricting added rural, GOP-leaning counties east of Dallas suburbs. With minimal polling available and historical incumbency advantages in safe districts, traders price Republicans at 85% implied probability for the November 3 general election, viewing Democratic nominee Evan Hunt as an underdog amid fundraising gaps and demographic tilts favoring conservatives. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this consensus, though national midterm dynamics or late endorsements could influence odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
TX -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$13,985 वॉल्यूम
$13,985 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
84%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
12%
$13,985 वॉल्यूम
$13,985 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$7,676 वॉल्यूम
84%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$6,309 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self secured the nomination in Texas' 3rd Congressional District GOP primary on March 3, solidifying his path in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report after 2025 redistricting added rural, GOP-leaning counties east of Dallas suburbs. With minimal polling available and historical incumbency advantages in safe districts, traders price Republicans at 85% implied probability for the November 3 general election, viewing Democratic nominee Evan Hunt as an underdog amid fundraising gaps and demographic tilts favoring conservatives. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this consensus, though national midterm dynamics or late endorsements could influence odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,985समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self secured the nomination in Texas' 3rd Congressional District GOP primary on March 3, solidifying his path in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report after 2025 redistricting added rural, GOP-leaning counties east of Dallas suburbs. With minimal polling available and historical incumbency advantages in safe districts, traders price Republicans at 85% implied probability for the November 3 general election, viewing Democratic nominee Evan Hunt as an underdog amid fundraising gaps and demographic tilts favoring conservatives. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this consensus, though national midterm dynamics or late endorsements could influence odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$13,985समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Keith Self secured the nomination in Texas' 3rd Congressional District GOP primary on March 3, solidifying his path in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report after 2025 redistricting added rural, GOP-leaning counties east of Dallas suburbs. With minimal polling available and historical incumbency advantages in safe districts, traders price Republicans at 85% implied probability for the November 3 general election, viewing Democratic nominee Evan Hunt as an underdog amid fundraising gaps and demographic tilts favoring conservatives. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this consensus, though national midterm dynamics or late endorsements could influence odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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