**Trader consensus centers on 62-66% turnout for Serbia’s October 25 snap parliamentary election, reflecting expectations of elevated participation amid intense political mobilization.** The race pits Aleksandar Vučić’s “United Serbia” list against the student-backed “Students Win” movement in a contest triggered by nearly two years of protests over the 2024 Novi Sad canopy collapse and related governance concerns. A late-September Faktor Plus poll explicitly projected 62% turnout, while analysts note that the competitive environment, high-stakes transition of Vučić toward a prime-minister role, and sustained opposition engagement could push participation above the sub-60% levels typical in recent cycles. Higher turnout is widely viewed as favoring challengers, as ruling parties have historically relied on stronger base mobilization at lower rates; this dynamic supports the clustering of probabilities in the low-to-mid 60s while leaving room for upside if youth and protest-driven voters exceed expectations.