The Trump administration has intensified pressure on Cuba’s energy sector through Executive Order 14380 (January 2026), which authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers after Venezuelan shipments ended, and Executive Order 14404 (May 2026), which enabled secondary sanctions on foreign entities operating in Cuba’s energy, mining, finance, and defense sectors. Subsequent State Department designations, including of state oil firm CUPET in June and additional energy and military-linked entities in September, have reinforced the blockade rather than easing it. Secret talks reportedly offering limited U.S. oil and investment collapsed amid domestic political constraints and Cuban resistance, with no official announcements of sanction relief or waivers as of mid-September. Traders assess these sustained policy measures and lack of diplomatic breakthroughs as the dominant factors shaping low implied probabilities for near-term relief.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$46,696 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
30 सितंबर
25%
31 दिसंबर
41%
$46,696 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
$43 वॉल्यूम
25%
31 दिसंबर
$0 वॉल्यूम
41%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration has intensified pressure on Cuba’s energy sector through Executive Order 14380 (January 2026), which authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers after Venezuelan shipments ended, and Executive Order 14404 (May 2026), which enabled secondary sanctions on foreign entities operating in Cuba’s energy, mining, finance, and defense sectors. Subsequent State Department designations, including of state oil firm CUPET in June and additional energy and military-linked entities in September, have reinforced the blockade rather than easing it. Secret talks reportedly offering limited U.S. oil and investment collapsed amid domestic political constraints and Cuban resistance, with no official announcements of sanction relief or waivers as of mid-September. Traders assess these sustained policy measures and lack of diplomatic breakthroughs as the dominant factors shaping low implied probabilities for near-term relief.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$46,696समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration has intensified pressure on Cuba’s energy sector through Executive Order 14380 (January 2026), which authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers after Venezuelan shipments ended, and Executive Order 14404 (May 2026), which enabled secondary sanctions on foreign entities operating in Cuba’s energy, mining, finance, and defense sectors. Subsequent State Department designations, including of state oil firm CUPET in June and additional energy and military-linked entities in September, have reinforced the blockade rather than easing it. Secret talks reportedly offering limited U.S. oil and investment collapsed amid domestic political constraints and Cuban resistance, with no official announcements of sanction relief or waivers as of mid-September. Traders assess these sustained policy measures and lack of diplomatic breakthroughs as the dominant factors shaping low implied probabilities for near-term relief.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$46,696समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has intensified pressure on Cuba’s energy sector through Executive Order 14380 (January 2026), which authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers after Venezuelan shipments ended, and Executive Order 14404 (May 2026), which enabled secondary sanctions on foreign entities operating in Cuba’s energy, mining, finance, and defense sectors. Subsequent State Department designations, including of state oil firm CUPET in June and additional energy and military-linked entities in September, have reinforced the blockade rather than easing it. Secret talks reportedly offering limited U.S. oil and investment collapsed amid domestic political constraints and Cuban resistance, with no official announcements of sanction relief or waivers as of mid-September. Traders assess these sustained policy measures and lack of diplomatic breakthroughs as the dominant factors shaping low implied probabilities for near-term relief.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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