Washington’s 4th congressional district, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and encompassing Yakima and the Tri-Cities, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Dan Newhouse’s retirement created an open seat, but the August 4, 2026 top-two primary produced a general-election matchup between Republican Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky. McKinney’s plurality consolidated Republican support, while the district’s voter registration patterns and historical results limit Democratic performance. Independent race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds the strong advantage heading into the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WA -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$50,436 वॉल्यूम
$50,436 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
90%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
8%
$50,436 वॉल्यूम
$50,436 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$27,826 वॉल्यूम
90%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$22,611 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 4th congressional district, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and encompassing Yakima and the Tri-Cities, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Dan Newhouse’s retirement created an open seat, but the August 4, 2026 top-two primary produced a general-election matchup between Republican Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky. McKinney’s plurality consolidated Republican support, while the district’s voter registration patterns and historical results limit Democratic performance. Independent race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds the strong advantage heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$50,436समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 4th congressional district, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and encompassing Yakima and the Tri-Cities, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Dan Newhouse’s retirement created an open seat, but the August 4, 2026 top-two primary produced a general-election matchup between Republican Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky. McKinney’s plurality consolidated Republican support, while the district’s voter registration patterns and historical results limit Democratic performance. Independent race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds the strong advantage heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$50,436समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 4th congressional district, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and encompassing Yakima and the Tri-Cities, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Dan Newhouse’s retirement created an open seat, but the August 4, 2026 top-two primary produced a general-election matchup between Republican Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky. McKinney’s plurality consolidated Republican support, while the district’s voter registration patterns and historical results limit Democratic performance. Independent race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds the strong advantage heading into the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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