Washington's 4th Congressional District, with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 59% showing in the 2024 presidential race, anchors trader consensus at 80.5% odds for a Republican House winner in this open-seat contest following Dan Newhouse's December 2025 retirement announcement. The May 8 filing deadline confirmed a crowded top-two primary field dominated by Republicans, including strong fundraisers Amanda McKinney ($523,892 raised) and Jerrod Sessler ($402,499 raised) as of March 31, while Democrat John Duresky lags at $63,754. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) reflect the district's rural, agricultural base favoring GOP incumbency patterns, with the August 4 primary poised to likely advance two Republicans to November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WA -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$26,839 वॉल्यूम
$26,839 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
81%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
20%
$26,839 वॉल्यूम
$26,839 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$13,712 वॉल्यूम
81%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$13,127 वॉल्यूम
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th Congressional District, with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 59% showing in the 2024 presidential race, anchors trader consensus at 80.5% odds for a Republican House winner in this open-seat contest following Dan Newhouse's December 2025 retirement announcement. The May 8 filing deadline confirmed a crowded top-two primary field dominated by Republicans, including strong fundraisers Amanda McKinney ($523,892 raised) and Jerrod Sessler ($402,499 raised) as of March 31, while Democrat John Duresky lags at $63,754. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) reflect the district's rural, agricultural base favoring GOP incumbency patterns, with the August 4 primary poised to likely advance two Republicans to November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,839समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th Congressional District, with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 59% showing in the 2024 presidential race, anchors trader consensus at 80.5% odds for a Republican House winner in this open-seat contest following Dan Newhouse's December 2025 retirement announcement. The May 8 filing deadline confirmed a crowded top-two primary field dominated by Republicans, including strong fundraisers Amanda McKinney ($523,892 raised) and Jerrod Sessler ($402,499 raised) as of March 31, while Democrat John Duresky lags at $63,754. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) reflect the district's rural, agricultural base favoring GOP incumbency patterns, with the August 4 primary poised to likely advance two Republicans to November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$26,839समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 4th Congressional District, with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 59% showing in the 2024 presidential race, anchors trader consensus at 80.5% odds for a Republican House winner in this open-seat contest following Dan Newhouse's December 2025 retirement announcement. The May 8 filing deadline confirmed a crowded top-two primary field dominated by Republicans, including strong fundraisers Amanda McKinney ($523,892 raised) and Jerrod Sessler ($402,499 raised) as of March 31, while Democrat John Duresky lags at $63,754. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) reflect the district's rural, agricultural base favoring GOP incumbency patterns, with the August 4 primary poised to likely advance two Republicans to November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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