Elevated West Nile virus activity in New York City this season, with 24 confirmed neuroinvasive cases and 1,737 positive mosquito pools reported by mid-September 2026, forms the core driver behind the near-even market split between 50 or more cases (43%) and 35–49 cases (42%). Record mosquito positivity across all boroughs, compared with prior years, reflects warmer temperatures and extended transmission windows that boost Culex vector abundance and viral amplification in avian reservoirs, consistent with CDC and NYC Health Department surveillance trends showing rising averages from 16–31 neuroinvasive cases annually in recent years. Peak activity typically runs through October, leaving room for additional reports that could push totals higher, though variable late-season weather and control measures introduce uncertainty in final counts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में न्यूयॉर्क शहर के निवासियों के बीच वेस्ट नाइल न्यूरोइनवेसिव बीमारी के कितने मामले सामने आएंगे?
2026 में न्यूयॉर्क शहर के निवासियों के बीच वेस्ट नाइल न्यूरोइनवेसिव बीमारी के कितने मामले सामने आएंगे?
50 या अधिक 43.3%
35 से 49 43%
20 से 34 5%
20 से कम 1.1%
$17,383 वॉल्यूम
$17,383 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2027
20 से कम
1%
20 से 34
5%
35 से 49
43%
50 या अधिक
43%
50 या अधिक 43.3%
35 से 49 43%
20 से 34 5%
20 से कम 1.1%
$17,383 वॉल्यूम
$17,383 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2027
20 से कम
$4,391 वॉल्यूम
1%
20 से 34
$8,609 वॉल्यूम
5%
35 से 49
$3,069 वॉल्यूम
43%
50 या अधिक
$1,315 वॉल्यूम
43%
This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.Elevated West Nile virus activity in New York City this season, with 24 confirmed neuroinvasive cases and 1,737 positive mosquito pools reported by mid-September 2026, forms the core driver behind the near-even market split between 50 or more cases (43%) and 35–49 cases (42%). Record mosquito positivity across all boroughs, compared with prior years, reflects warmer temperatures and extended transmission windows that boost Culex vector abundance and viral amplification in avian reservoirs, consistent with CDC and NYC Health Department surveillance trends showing rising averages from 16–31 neuroinvasive cases annually in recent years. Peak activity typically runs through October, leaving room for additional reports that could push totals higher, though variable late-season weather and control measures introduce uncertainty in final counts.
This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,383समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 5:18 PM ETThis market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.Elevated West Nile virus activity in New York City this season, with 24 confirmed neuroinvasive cases and 1,737 positive mosquito pools reported by mid-September 2026, forms the core driver behind the near-even market split between 50 or more cases (43%) and 35–49 cases (42%). Record mosquito positivity across all boroughs, compared with prior years, reflects warmer temperatures and extended transmission windows that boost Culex vector abundance and viral amplification in avian reservoirs, consistent with CDC and NYC Health Department surveillance trends showing rising averages from 16–31 neuroinvasive cases annually in recent years. Peak activity typically runs through October, leaving room for additional reports that could push totals higher, though variable late-season weather and control measures introduce uncertainty in final counts.
This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.
Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.
The 2026 count shown on the source as of January 1, 2027 is the starting figure.
If the DOHMH publishes or revises the 2026 count on or after January 1, 2027, this market will resolve based on the count shown on the source at 11:59 PM ET on the 14th day after the first such update, or on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. If no such update occurs, this market will resolve on March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on the 2026 count shown on the source at that time.
If no 2026 count has been published on the source by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the sum of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive disease case counts reported by CDC ArboNET for the five New York City counties (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, and Richmond). Revisions published after this market resolves will not be considered. If the DOHMH changes its reporting format or URL structure, the closest equivalent NYC Health Department publication of 2026 West Nile neuroinvasive case data will be used.
वॉल्यूम
$17,383समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 5:18 PM ETElevated West Nile virus activity in New York City this season, with 24 confirmed neuroinvasive cases and 1,737 positive mosquito pools reported by mid-September 2026, forms the core driver behind the near-even market split between 50 or more cases (43%) and 35–49 cases (42%). Record mosquito positivity across all boroughs, compared with prior years, reflects warmer temperatures and extended transmission windows that boost Culex vector abundance and viral amplification in avian reservoirs, consistent with CDC and NYC Health Department surveillance trends showing rising averages from 16–31 neuroinvasive cases annually in recent years. Peak activity typically runs through October, leaving room for additional reports that could push totals higher, though variable late-season weather and control measures introduce uncertainty in final counts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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