Elevated mortgage rates near 6-7% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability in the Austin metro, while elevated inventory from pandemic-era construction and moderating in-migration sustain downward pressure on values. Recent data through May 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $440,000 to $542,000 depending on the metric, with year-over-year declines of 1-6% across sources like Redfin and Zillow amid longer days on market and increased price reductions. These conditions underpin the 49% market-implied probability on outcomes below $481k as of mid-June, with traders pricing in limited upside before the June 30 resolution absent near-term rate relief or demand surges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 जून को ऑस्टिन, टेक्सास मेट्रो क्षेत्र में औसत घर का मूल्य क्या होगा?
30 जून को ऑस्टिन, टेक्सास मेट्रो क्षेत्र में औसत घर का मूल्य क्या होगा?
>$495k से अधिक 50%
<$481k 31%
$481k - $484k 10%
$493k - $495k 10%
नया
नया
30 जून, 2026
$481k - $484k
12%
$484k - $487k
13%
$493k - $495k
12%
$490k - $493k
13%
>$495k से अधिक
40%
$487k - $490k
14%
<$481k
28%
>$495k से अधिक 50%
<$481k 31%
$481k - $484k 10%
$493k - $495k 10%
नया
नया
30 जून, 2026
$481k - $484k
$139 वॉल्यूम
12%
$484k - $487k
$173 वॉल्यूम
13%
$493k - $495k
$149 वॉल्यूम
12%
$490k - $493k
$123 वॉल्यूम
13%
>$495k से अधिक
$400 वॉल्यूम
40%
$487k - $490k
$144 वॉल्यूम
14%
<$481k
$398 वॉल्यूम
28%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Elevated mortgage rates near 6-7% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability in the Austin metro, while elevated inventory from pandemic-era construction and moderating in-migration sustain downward pressure on values. Recent data through May 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $440,000 to $542,000 depending on the metric, with year-over-year declines of 1-6% across sources like Redfin and Zillow amid longer days on market and increased price reductions. These conditions underpin the 49% market-implied probability on outcomes below $481k as of mid-June, with traders pricing in limited upside before the June 30 resolution absent near-term rate relief or demand surges.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,528समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Elevated mortgage rates near 6-7% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability in the Austin metro, while elevated inventory from pandemic-era construction and moderating in-migration sustain downward pressure on values. Recent data through May 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $440,000 to $542,000 depending on the metric, with year-over-year declines of 1-6% across sources like Redfin and Zillow amid longer days on market and increased price reductions. These conditions underpin the 49% market-implied probability on outcomes below $481k as of mid-June, with traders pricing in limited upside before the June 30 resolution absent near-term rate relief or demand surges.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
वॉल्यूम
$1,528समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6-7% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability in the Austin metro, while elevated inventory from pandemic-era construction and moderating in-migration sustain downward pressure on values. Recent data through May 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $440,000 to $542,000 depending on the metric, with year-over-year declines of 1-6% across sources like Redfin and Zillow amid longer days on market and increased price reductions. These conditions underpin the 49% market-implied probability on outcomes below $481k as of mid-June, with traders pricing in limited upside before the June 30 resolution absent near-term rate relief or demand surges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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