Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Chicago home values and sale prices rising modestly year-over-year, with ZHVI near $326,000 in late May 2026 amid 3-6% appreciation driven by persistent low inventory and steady demand. Mortgage rates near 6% and limited supply continue to support upward pressure, though national forecasts point to tempered 2-5% gains for the year. With the two leading $339k–$345k bins holding nearly equal 19.5-20.5% implied probabilities, trader sentiment reflects tight uncertainty around June seasonal strength and any final data releases before resolution; small shifts in inventory reports or rate movements could readily reallocate probabilities across the narrow range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$342k - $345k 20%
$339k - $342k 17%
<$339k 12%
$354k से अधिक 11%
<$339k
12%
$339k - $342k
17%
$342k - $345k
20%
$345k - $348k
10%
$348k - $351k
9%
$351k - $354k
10%
$354k से अधिक
11%
$342k - $345k 20%
$339k - $342k 17%
<$339k 12%
$354k से अधिक 11%
<$339k
12%
$339k - $342k
17%
$342k - $345k
20%
$345k - $348k
10%
$348k - $351k
9%
$351k - $354k
10%
$354k से अधिक
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Chicago home values and sale prices rising modestly year-over-year, with ZHVI near $326,000 in late May 2026 amid 3-6% appreciation driven by persistent low inventory and steady demand. Mortgage rates near 6% and limited supply continue to support upward pressure, though national forecasts point to tempered 2-5% gains for the year. With the two leading $339k–$345k bins holding nearly equal 19.5-20.5% implied probabilities, trader sentiment reflects tight uncertainty around June seasonal strength and any final data releases before resolution; small shifts in inventory reports or rate movements could readily reallocate probabilities across the narrow range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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