Recent data releases and market dynamics point to softening in the DC Metro housing market as the key driver behind the 67% implied probability on median home values below $554k by June 30. Elevated inventory levels, up sharply year-over-year, combined with longer days on market and softer buyer demand amid higher mortgage rates, have weighed on transaction prices across the metro area. February 2026 medians hovered near $585k with modest annual gains, but subsequent Redfin and Zillow indices reflect year-over-year declines of 3-5% in core segments, aligning with 2026 forecasts for a roughly 1% regional dip tied to expanded listings and federal-sector caution. With resolution less than three weeks away, limited remaining catalysts and the observed price trajectory reinforce trader positioning around the lower outcome buckets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया<$554k 70%
$554k - $558k 18%
$558k - $562k 9%
$566k - $570k 9%
नया
नया
30 जून, 2026
<$554k
66%
$554k - $558k
17%
$558k - $562k
9%
$562k - $566k
8%
$566k - $570k
9%
$570k - $572k
7%
>$572k
6%
<$554k 70%
$554k - $558k 18%
$558k - $562k 9%
$566k - $570k 9%
नया
नया
30 जून, 2026
<$554k
$444 वॉल्यूम
66%
$554k - $558k
$35 वॉल्यूम
17%
$558k - $562k
$61 वॉल्यूम
9%
$562k - $566k
$34 वॉल्यूम
8%
$566k - $570k
$34 वॉल्यूम
9%
$570k - $572k
$34 वॉल्यूम
7%
>$572k
$59 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent data releases and market dynamics point to softening in the DC Metro housing market as the key driver behind the 67% implied probability on median home values below $554k by June 30. Elevated inventory levels, up sharply year-over-year, combined with longer days on market and softer buyer demand amid higher mortgage rates, have weighed on transaction prices across the metro area. February 2026 medians hovered near $585k with modest annual gains, but subsequent Redfin and Zillow indices reflect year-over-year declines of 3-5% in core segments, aligning with 2026 forecasts for a roughly 1% regional dip tied to expanded listings and federal-sector caution. With resolution less than three weeks away, limited remaining catalysts and the observed price trajectory reinforce trader positioning around the lower outcome buckets.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$701समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent data releases and market dynamics point to softening in the DC Metro housing market as the key driver behind the 67% implied probability on median home values below $554k by June 30. Elevated inventory levels, up sharply year-over-year, combined with longer days on market and softer buyer demand amid higher mortgage rates, have weighed on transaction prices across the metro area. February 2026 medians hovered near $585k with modest annual gains, but subsequent Redfin and Zillow indices reflect year-over-year declines of 3-5% in core segments, aligning with 2026 forecasts for a roughly 1% regional dip tied to expanded listings and federal-sector caution. With resolution less than three weeks away, limited remaining catalysts and the observed price trajectory reinforce trader positioning around the lower outcome buckets.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
वॉल्यूम
$701समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data releases and market dynamics point to softening in the DC Metro housing market as the key driver behind the 67% implied probability on median home values below $554k by June 30. Elevated inventory levels, up sharply year-over-year, combined with longer days on market and softer buyer demand amid higher mortgage rates, have weighed on transaction prices across the metro area. February 2026 medians hovered near $585k with modest annual gains, but subsequent Redfin and Zillow indices reflect year-over-year declines of 3-5% in core segments, aligning with 2026 forecasts for a roughly 1% regional dip tied to expanded listings and federal-sector caution. With resolution less than three weeks away, limited remaining catalysts and the observed price trajectory reinforce trader positioning around the lower outcome buckets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न