Recent U.S. housing data show modest or flat median price appreciation in 2026, with Redfin reporting a May median sale price of $398,771 (up 2% YoY) and Zillow’s typical home value near $370,000, amid 30-year mortgage rates holding around 6.3-6.4%. Trader sentiment for the June 30 resolution clusters below $429k at 29% implied probability, reflecting slowed demand from affordability constraints, gradually rising inventory, and forecasts from JPMorgan and Realtor.com for near-zero to low-single-digit national gains this year. Key differentiating factors include seasonal sales patterns, potential revisions in official metrics like FRED’s quarterly median, and any last-minute shifts in Fed communications or labor-market releases that could influence buyer activity before month-end. The wide distribution across bins underscores uncertainty over the precise data source and short-term volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया<$429k 32%
$433k - $435k 17%
$431k - $433k 14%
$429k - $431k 11%
नया
नया
30 जून, 2026
<$429k
29%
$429k - $431k
11%
$431k - $433k
18%
$433k - $435k
17%
$435k - $437k
9%
$437k - $439k
11%
$439k से अधिक
6%
<$429k 32%
$433k - $435k 17%
$431k - $433k 14%
$429k - $431k 11%
नया
नया
30 जून, 2026
<$429k
$1,829 वॉल्यूम
29%
$429k - $431k
$1,636 वॉल्यूम
11%
$431k - $433k
$871 वॉल्यूम
18%
$433k - $435k
$668 वॉल्यूम
17%
$435k - $437k
$309 वॉल्यूम
9%
$437k - $439k
$38 वॉल्यूम
11%
$439k से अधिक
$7 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent U.S. housing data show modest or flat median price appreciation in 2026, with Redfin reporting a May median sale price of $398,771 (up 2% YoY) and Zillow’s typical home value near $370,000, amid 30-year mortgage rates holding around 6.3-6.4%. Trader sentiment for the June 30 resolution clusters below $429k at 29% implied probability, reflecting slowed demand from affordability constraints, gradually rising inventory, and forecasts from JPMorgan and Realtor.com for near-zero to low-single-digit national gains this year. Key differentiating factors include seasonal sales patterns, potential revisions in official metrics like FRED’s quarterly median, and any last-minute shifts in Fed communications or labor-market releases that could influence buyer activity before month-end. The wide distribution across bins underscores uncertainty over the precise data source and short-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,359समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent U.S. housing data show modest or flat median price appreciation in 2026, with Redfin reporting a May median sale price of $398,771 (up 2% YoY) and Zillow’s typical home value near $370,000, amid 30-year mortgage rates holding around 6.3-6.4%. Trader sentiment for the June 30 resolution clusters below $429k at 29% implied probability, reflecting slowed demand from affordability constraints, gradually rising inventory, and forecasts from JPMorgan and Realtor.com for near-zero to low-single-digit national gains this year. Key differentiating factors include seasonal sales patterns, potential revisions in official metrics like FRED’s quarterly median, and any last-minute shifts in Fed communications or labor-market releases that could influence buyer activity before month-end. The wide distribution across bins underscores uncertainty over the precise data source and short-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
वॉल्यूम
$5,359समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. housing data show modest or flat median price appreciation in 2026, with Redfin reporting a May median sale price of $398,771 (up 2% YoY) and Zillow’s typical home value near $370,000, amid 30-year mortgage rates holding around 6.3-6.4%. Trader sentiment for the June 30 resolution clusters below $429k at 29% implied probability, reflecting slowed demand from affordability constraints, gradually rising inventory, and forecasts from JPMorgan and Realtor.com for near-zero to low-single-digit national gains this year. Key differentiating factors include seasonal sales patterns, potential revisions in official metrics like FRED’s quarterly median, and any last-minute shifts in Fed communications or labor-market releases that could influence buyer activity before month-end. The wide distribution across bins underscores uncertainty over the precise data source and short-term volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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