Recent May 2026 core CPI at 2.9% YoY, coupled with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to a June reading near 2.85%, has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered around 2.9–3.0%. Persistent shelter costs, which comprise over one-third of the core basket and rose 3.4% in the latest data, along with firm services prices in transportation and medical care, underpin expectations that disinflation may stall. Offsetting factors include softer goods prices and base effects, while forward-looking views incorporate potential lagged tariff pass-through and labor-market tightness. This balanced setup leaves outcomes sensitive to the June shelter and supercore components, with the next CPI release serving as the key catalyst for any repricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोर सीपीआई वर्ष - जून 2026
कोर सीपीआई वर्ष - जून 2026
2.9% 49%
3.1% 48%
3.0% 47%
3.2% 31%
नया
नया
15 जुल, 2026
≤2.4%
28%
2.5%
29%
2.6%
28%
2.7%
28%
2.8%
28%
2.9%
49%
3.0%
47%
3.1%
48%
3.2%
31%
≥3.3%
29%
2.9% 49%
3.1% 48%
3.0% 47%
3.2% 31%
नया
नया
15 जुल, 2026
≤2.4%
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
2.5%
$0 वॉल्यूम
29%
2.6%
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
2.7%
$1 वॉल्यूम
28%
2.8%
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
2.9%
$0 वॉल्यूम
49%
3.0%
$0 वॉल्यूम
47%
3.1%
$41 वॉल्यूम
48%
3.2%
$44 वॉल्यूम
31%
≥3.3%
$44 वॉल्यूम
29%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 core CPI at 2.9% YoY, coupled with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to a June reading near 2.85%, has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered around 2.9–3.0%. Persistent shelter costs, which comprise over one-third of the core basket and rose 3.4% in the latest data, along with firm services prices in transportation and medical care, underpin expectations that disinflation may stall. Offsetting factors include softer goods prices and base effects, while forward-looking views incorporate potential lagged tariff pass-through and labor-market tightness. This balanced setup leaves outcomes sensitive to the June shelter and supercore components, with the next CPI release serving as the key catalyst for any repricing.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 10, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$130समाप्ति तिथि
15 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 10, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 core CPI at 2.9% YoY, coupled with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to a June reading near 2.85%, has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered around 2.9–3.0%. Persistent shelter costs, which comprise over one-third of the core basket and rose 3.4% in the latest data, along with firm services prices in transportation and medical care, underpin expectations that disinflation may stall. Offsetting factors include softer goods prices and base effects, while forward-looking views incorporate potential lagged tariff pass-through and labor-market tightness. This balanced setup leaves outcomes sensitive to the June shelter and supercore components, with the next CPI release serving as the key catalyst for any repricing.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
वॉल्यूम
$130समाप्ति तिथि
15 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 10, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 2026 core CPI at 2.9% YoY, coupled with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to a June reading near 2.85%, has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered around 2.9–3.0%. Persistent shelter costs, which comprise over one-third of the core basket and rose 3.4% in the latest data, along with firm services prices in transportation and medical care, underpin expectations that disinflation may stall. Offsetting factors include softer goods prices and base effects, while forward-looking views incorporate potential lagged tariff pass-through and labor-market tightness. This balanced setup leaves outcomes sensitive to the June shelter and supercore components, with the next CPI release serving as the key catalyst for any repricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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