OpenAI's commanding 98.9 percent market-implied probability for second-highest AI revenue in the May 11-17 window stems from its unmatched scale in both consumer subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which consistently outpace rivals in weekly monetization. Traders see this positioning as stable because OpenAI's large language models have driven rapid adoption across chatbots and developer tools, while competitors like Google and Anthropic trail in publicly reported AI-specific income. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Google DeepMind product release that accelerates enterprise deals or a major Anthropic funding-linked revenue spike, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current development timelines and disclosure patterns.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOpenAI 98.9%
Google <1%
Anthropic <1%
Z.ai <1%
$28,159 वॉल्यूम
$28,159 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
OpenAI
99%
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
OpenAI 98.9%
Google <1%
Anthropic <1%
Z.ai <1%
$28,159 वॉल्यूम
$28,159 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
OpenAI
$10,364 वॉल्यूम
99%
$1,891 वॉल्यूम
1%
Anthropic
$2,347 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Z.ai
$3,087 वॉल्यूम
<1%
xAI
$4,480 वॉल्यूम
<1%
DeepSeek
$3,581 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,457 वॉल्यूम
<1%
MiniMax
$950 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.OpenAI's commanding 98.9 percent market-implied probability for second-highest AI revenue in the May 11-17 window stems from its unmatched scale in both consumer subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which consistently outpace rivals in weekly monetization. Traders see this positioning as stable because OpenAI's large language models have driven rapid adoption across chatbots and developer tools, while competitors like Google and Anthropic trail in publicly reported AI-specific income. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Google DeepMind product release that accelerates enterprise deals or a major Anthropic funding-linked revenue spike, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current development timelines and disclosure patterns.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
बाज़ार खुला: May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,159समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.OpenAI's commanding 98.9 percent market-implied probability for second-highest AI revenue in the May 11-17 window stems from its unmatched scale in both consumer subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which consistently outpace rivals in weekly monetization. Traders see this positioning as stable because OpenAI's large language models have driven rapid adoption across chatbots and developer tools, while competitors like Google and Anthropic trail in publicly reported AI-specific income. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Google DeepMind product release that accelerates enterprise deals or a major Anthropic funding-linked revenue spike, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current development timelines and disclosure patterns.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
वॉल्यूम
$28,159समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's commanding 98.9 percent market-implied probability for second-highest AI revenue in the May 11-17 window stems from its unmatched scale in both consumer subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which consistently outpace rivals in weekly monetization. Traders see this positioning as stable because OpenAI's large language models have driven rapid adoption across chatbots and developer tools, while competitors like Google and Anthropic trail in publicly reported AI-specific income. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Google DeepMind product release that accelerates enterprise deals or a major Anthropic funding-linked revenue spike, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current development timelines and disclosure patterns.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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