Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 85.5% implied probability for holding the #1 AI model by May 31 on the Arena.ai Chatbot Arena leaderboard (Style Control On), driven by Claude Opus 4.7's commanding leads across key domains like agentic coding, gaming, and simulations following its mid-April release. The model's thinking variant boasts top Elo ratings, such as 1611 in gaming—over 40 points ahead of rivals—and dominates Code Arena by 37+ points over prior versions and 46 over non-Anthropic challengers like GLM-5.1. Google trails at 12.5% amid anticipation for Gemini updates potentially at I/O, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 lags in rankings; no major releases from others have shifted sentiment recently, with resolution looming in two weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 86%
Google 13%
OpenAI 1.6%
Meta <1%
$387,031 वॉल्यूम
$387,031 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
Anthropic
86%
13%
OpenAI
2%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 86%
Google 13%
OpenAI 1.6%
Meta <1%
$387,031 वॉल्यूम
$387,031 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
Anthropic
$40,255 वॉल्यूम
86%
$32,049 वॉल्यूम
13%
OpenAI
$24,447 वॉल्यूम
2%
Meta
$24,806 वॉल्यूम
<1%
xAI
$22,978 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$24,537 वॉल्यूम
<1%
DeepSeek
$20,636 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Alibaba
$33,759 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Amazon
$15,766 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Moonshot
$18,580 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Z.ai
$22,660 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Mistral
$18,254 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$27,297 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Baidu
$36,987 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Microsoft
$24,018 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 85.5% implied probability for holding the #1 AI model by May 31 on the Arena.ai Chatbot Arena leaderboard (Style Control On), driven by Claude Opus 4.7's commanding leads across key domains like agentic coding, gaming, and simulations following its mid-April release. The model's thinking variant boasts top Elo ratings, such as 1611 in gaming—over 40 points ahead of rivals—and dominates Code Arena by 37+ points over prior versions and 46 over non-Anthropic challengers like GLM-5.1. Google trails at 12.5% amid anticipation for Gemini updates potentially at I/O, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 lags in rankings; no major releases from others have shifted sentiment recently, with resolution looming in two weeks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$387,031समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 85.5% implied probability for holding the #1 AI model by May 31 on the Arena.ai Chatbot Arena leaderboard (Style Control On), driven by Claude Opus 4.7's commanding leads across key domains like agentic coding, gaming, and simulations following its mid-April release. The model's thinking variant boasts top Elo ratings, such as 1611 in gaming—over 40 points ahead of rivals—and dominates Code Arena by 37+ points over prior versions and 46 over non-Anthropic challengers like GLM-5.1. Google trails at 12.5% amid anticipation for Gemini updates potentially at I/O, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 lags in rankings; no major releases from others have shifted sentiment recently, with resolution looming in two weeks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$387,031समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 85.5% implied probability for holding the #1 AI model by May 31 on the Arena.ai Chatbot Arena leaderboard (Style Control On), driven by Claude Opus 4.7's commanding leads across key domains like agentic coding, gaming, and simulations following its mid-April release. The model's thinking variant boasts top Elo ratings, such as 1611 in gaming—over 40 points ahead of rivals—and dominates Code Arena by 37+ points over prior versions and 46 over non-Anthropic challengers like GLM-5.1. Google trails at 12.5% amid anticipation for Gemini updates potentially at I/O, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 lags in rankings; no major releases from others have shifted sentiment recently, with resolution looming in two weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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