Anthropic’s Claude family—led by Mythos 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5—dominates current leaderboards including BenchLM, LMArena (style control on), and Artificial Analysis, driving the 86.5% implied probability. The July 24 release of Opus 5 delivered near-flagship performance on coding, agentic, and reasoning benchmarks at half the price of Fable 5, while sustaining multi-month Arena leadership. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants and Google’s Gemini 3.x releases trail on key metrics, with no imminent frontier upgrades confirmed before October. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and DeepSeek show gains on select tasks but remain outside the top tier. Traders view Anthropic’s recent shipping cadence and benchmark consistency as the decisive edge through the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 87%
Google 3.9%
OpenAI 3.5%
Meta 3.2%
$10,699 वॉल्यूम
$10,699 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
Anthropic
87%
4%
OpenAI
4%
Meta
3%
Alibaba
3%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
1%
Tencent
1%
Microsoft
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
ByteDance
1%
Meituan
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
StepFun
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Anthropic 87%
Google 3.9%
OpenAI 3.5%
Meta 3.2%
$10,699 वॉल्यूम
$10,699 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
Anthropic
$5,641 वॉल्यूम
87%
$209 वॉल्यूम
4%
OpenAI
$239 वॉल्यूम
4%
Meta
$229 वॉल्यूम
3%
Alibaba
$287 वॉल्यूम
3%
Moonshot
$319 वॉल्यूम
1%
Z.ai
$327 वॉल्यूम
1%
Tencent
$247 वॉल्यूम
1%
Microsoft
$245 वॉल्यूम
1%
SpaceXAI
$209 वॉल्यूम
1%
ByteDance
$263 वॉल्यूम
1%
Meituan
$247 वॉल्यूम
1%
DeepSeek
$235 वॉल्यूम
<1%
StepFun
$248 वॉल्यूम
<1%
MiniMax
$290 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Nvidia
$243 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Baidu
$119 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Xiaomi
$363 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Thinky
$247 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Mistral
$249 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Amazon
$243 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s Claude family—led by Mythos 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5—dominates current leaderboards including BenchLM, LMArena (style control on), and Artificial Analysis, driving the 86.5% implied probability. The July 24 release of Opus 5 delivered near-flagship performance on coding, agentic, and reasoning benchmarks at half the price of Fable 5, while sustaining multi-month Arena leadership. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants and Google’s Gemini 3.x releases trail on key metrics, with no imminent frontier upgrades confirmed before October. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and DeepSeek show gains on select tasks but remain outside the top tier. Traders view Anthropic’s recent shipping cadence and benchmark consistency as the decisive edge through the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,699समाप्ति तिथि
31 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s Claude family—led by Mythos 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5—dominates current leaderboards including BenchLM, LMArena (style control on), and Artificial Analysis, driving the 86.5% implied probability. The July 24 release of Opus 5 delivered near-flagship performance on coding, agentic, and reasoning benchmarks at half the price of Fable 5, while sustaining multi-month Arena leadership. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants and Google’s Gemini 3.x releases trail on key metrics, with no imminent frontier upgrades confirmed before October. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and DeepSeek show gains on select tasks but remain outside the top tier. Traders view Anthropic’s recent shipping cadence and benchmark consistency as the decisive edge through the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$10,699समाप्ति तिथि
31 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s Claude family—led by Mythos 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5—dominates current leaderboards including BenchLM, LMArena (style control on), and Artificial Analysis, driving the 86.5% implied probability. The July 24 release of Opus 5 delivered near-flagship performance on coding, agentic, and reasoning benchmarks at half the price of Fable 5, while sustaining multi-month Arena leadership. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants and Google’s Gemini 3.x releases trail on key metrics, with no imminent frontier upgrades confirmed before October. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and DeepSeek show gains on select tasks but remain outside the top tier. Traders view Anthropic’s recent shipping cadence and benchmark consistency as the decisive edge through the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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