Anthropic’s strong 71% market-implied odds reflect trader consensus around the recent release of Claude Opus 4.7, which has posted leading results on coding and agentic benchmarks such as SWE-bench and computer-use evaluations. The model’s one-million-token context window and parallel agent capabilities give it a practical edge for complex workflows that many frontier large language models still struggle with. Google’s 21% share stems from Gemini 3.1 Pro’s strength in science and long-context reasoning tasks, yet it trails slightly in real-world agentic performance. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro, while topping certain overall arena leaderboards after its late-April launch, sits at just 6.5% as traders weigh its incremental gains against Anthropic’s sharper focus on production-grade coding. With June resolution approaching, any new model drop or benchmark shift could quickly adjust these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 71.2%
गूगल 21%
ओपनएआई 7%
xAI 1.0%
$6,013,800 वॉल्यूम
$6,013,800 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
Anthropic
71%
गूगल
21%
ओपनएआई
7%
xAI
1%
मेटा
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
अमेज़न
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
मिस्ट्रील
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
<1%
बाइटडांस
<1%
अलीबाबा
<1%
मूनशॉट
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Anthropic 71.2%
गूगल 21%
ओपनएआई 7%
xAI 1.0%
$6,013,800 वॉल्यूम
$6,013,800 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
Anthropic
$846,005 वॉल्यूम
71%
गूगल
$549,750 वॉल्यूम
21%
ओपनएआई
$343,765 वॉल्यूम
7%
xAI
$1,067,771 वॉल्यूम
1%
मेटा
$137,000 वॉल्यूम
1%
DeepSeek
$504,501 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अमेज़न
$163,559 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Z.ai
$303,596 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिस्ट्रील
$483,624 वॉल्यूम
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$156,712 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बाइटडांस
$160,180 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अलीबाबा
$383,411 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मूनशॉट
$364,385 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$383,481 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Baidu
$166,063 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s strong 71% market-implied odds reflect trader consensus around the recent release of Claude Opus 4.7, which has posted leading results on coding and agentic benchmarks such as SWE-bench and computer-use evaluations. The model’s one-million-token context window and parallel agent capabilities give it a practical edge for complex workflows that many frontier large language models still struggle with. Google’s 21% share stems from Gemini 3.1 Pro’s strength in science and long-context reasoning tasks, yet it trails slightly in real-world agentic performance. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro, while topping certain overall arena leaderboards after its late-April launch, sits at just 6.5% as traders weigh its incremental gains against Anthropic’s sharper focus on production-grade coding. With June resolution approaching, any new model drop or benchmark shift could quickly adjust these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,013,800समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s strong 71% market-implied odds reflect trader consensus around the recent release of Claude Opus 4.7, which has posted leading results on coding and agentic benchmarks such as SWE-bench and computer-use evaluations. The model’s one-million-token context window and parallel agent capabilities give it a practical edge for complex workflows that many frontier large language models still struggle with. Google’s 21% share stems from Gemini 3.1 Pro’s strength in science and long-context reasoning tasks, yet it trails slightly in real-world agentic performance. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro, while topping certain overall arena leaderboards after its late-April launch, sits at just 6.5% as traders weigh its incremental gains against Anthropic’s sharper focus on production-grade coding. With June resolution approaching, any new model drop or benchmark shift could quickly adjust these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$6,013,800समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s strong 71% market-implied odds reflect trader consensus around the recent release of Claude Opus 4.7, which has posted leading results on coding and agentic benchmarks such as SWE-bench and computer-use evaluations. The model’s one-million-token context window and parallel agent capabilities give it a practical edge for complex workflows that many frontier large language models still struggle with. Google’s 21% share stems from Gemini 3.1 Pro’s strength in science and long-context reasoning tasks, yet it trails slightly in real-world agentic performance. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro, while topping certain overall arena leaderboards after its late-April launch, sits at just 6.5% as traders weigh its incremental gains against Anthropic’s sharper focus on production-grade coding. With June resolution approaching, any new model drop or benchmark shift could quickly adjust these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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